Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Shanghai's May 18 overnight low, with 20°C (29.5% implied probability) edging 19°C (23.5%) as ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF clusters around 20–21°C. Recent developments include a stable subtropical high pressure ridge fostering warm advection and light southeast winds (3–4 m/s), muting radiative cooling despite low humidity (45–50%), while partial cloud cover introduces variability—clearer skies favor 19°C, overcast conditions 20°C or higher. Shanghai's mid-May climatology averages 17–18°C lows, but persistent above-normal temperatures over the past week (recent lows 18–20°C) support the elevated positioning. Watch daily China Meteorological Administration updates and 00Z model runs for shifts ahead of resolution via official Pudong Airport observations.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Shanghai on May 18?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on May 18?
20°C 22%
19°C 20%
21°C 14%
18°C 13%
নতুন
নতুন
May 18, 2026
15°C or below
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
8%
18°C
13%
19°C
20%
20°C
22%
21°C
14%
22°C
7%
23°C
3%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
<1%
20°C 22%
19°C 20%
21°C 14%
18°C 13%
নতুন
নতুন
May 18, 2026
15°C or below
$90 Vol.
1%
16°C
$25 Vol.
3%
17°C
$0 Vol.
8%
18°C
$3 Vol.
13%
19°C
$23 Vol.
20%
20°C
$51 Vol.
22%
21°C
$34 Vol.
14%
22°C
$0 Vol.
7%
23°C
$83 Vol.
3%
24°C
$40 Vol.
1%
25°C or higher
$51 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Shanghai's May 18 overnight low, with 20°C (29.5% implied probability) edging 19°C (23.5%) as ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF clusters around 20–21°C. Recent developments include a stable subtropical high pressure ridge fostering warm advection and light southeast winds (3–4 m/s), muting radiative cooling despite low humidity (45–50%), while partial cloud cover introduces variability—clearer skies favor 19°C, overcast conditions 20°C or higher. Shanghai's mid-May climatology averages 17–18°C lows, but persistent above-normal temperatures over the past week (recent lows 18–20°C) support the elevated positioning. Watch daily China Meteorological Administration updates and 00Z model runs for shifts ahead of resolution via official Pudong Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ভলিউম
$401শেষ তারিখ
May 18, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Shanghai's May 18 overnight low, with 20°C (29.5% implied probability) edging 19°C (23.5%) as ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF clusters around 20–21°C. Recent developments include a stable subtropical high pressure ridge fostering warm advection and light southeast winds (3–4 m/s), muting radiative cooling despite low humidity (45–50%), while partial cloud cover introduces variability—clearer skies favor 19°C, overcast conditions 20°C or higher. Shanghai's mid-May climatology averages 17–18°C lows, but persistent above-normal temperatures over the past week (recent lows 18–20°C) support the elevated positioning. Watch daily China Meteorological Administration updates and 00Z model runs for shifts ahead of resolution via official Pudong Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$401শেষ তারিখ
May 18, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Shanghai's May 18 overnight low, with 20°C (29.5% implied probability) edging 19°C (23.5%) as ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF clusters around 20–21°C. Recent developments include a stable subtropical high pressure ridge fostering warm advection and light southeast winds (3–4 m/s), muting radiative cooling despite low humidity (45–50%), while partial cloud cover introduces variability—clearer skies favor 19°C, overcast conditions 20°C or higher. Shanghai's mid-May climatology averages 17–18°C lows, but persistent above-normal temperatures over the past week (recent lows 18–20°C) support the elevated positioning. Watch daily China Meteorological Administration updates and 00Z model runs for shifts ahead of resolution via official Pudong Airport observations.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা