Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest National Weather Service guidance for Austin, implying a high near 90°F on May 16 with 48% odds for 90°F or higher amid genuine uncertainty in the 88-92°F range. A capping inversion aloft, noted in the NWS Austin/San Antonio forecast discussion issued early May 15, is suppressing showers and thunderstorms while upper-level ridging and south-southeasterly winds promote efficient daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. This follows severe storms on May 10 that disrupted earlier patterns, shifting to above-normal temperatures in an already record-warm May. GFS and ECMWF model ensembles show tight agreement on highs of 89-92°F, though minor variations in cloud cover or boundary layer mixing could trim peaks by 2-3°F; watch evening forecast updates for refinements ahead of resolution via official observations.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Austin on May 16?
Highest temperature in Austin on May 16?
90°F or higher 47%
88-89°F 31%
86-87°F 20%
84-85°F 2.7%
$31,551 Vol.
$31,551 Vol.
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
20%
88-89°F
31%
90°F or higher
47%
90°F or higher 47%
88-89°F 31%
86-87°F 20%
84-85°F 2.7%
$31,551 Vol.
$31,551 Vol.
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
20%
88-89°F
31%
90°F or higher
47%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 14, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest National Weather Service guidance for Austin, implying a high near 90°F on May 16 with 48% odds for 90°F or higher amid genuine uncertainty in the 88-92°F range. A capping inversion aloft, noted in the NWS Austin/San Antonio forecast discussion issued early May 15, is suppressing showers and thunderstorms while upper-level ridging and south-southeasterly winds promote efficient daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. This follows severe storms on May 10 that disrupted earlier patterns, shifting to above-normal temperatures in an already record-warm May. GFS and ECMWF model ensembles show tight agreement on highs of 89-92°F, though minor variations in cloud cover or boundary layer mixing could trim peaks by 2-3°F; watch evening forecast updates for refinements ahead of resolution via official observations.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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