Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 22°C (44.5% implied probability) for Madrid on May 14, reflecting the latest AEMET and ECMWF ensemble forecasts converging on 21–23°C amid a building high-pressure ridge over Iberia. Recent developments include May 12's observed maximum of around 18°C under cloudy conditions at Madrid-Barajas Airport, with model updates yesterday showing increased solar insolation and light southerly winds boosting projected highs from prior cooler 20°C outlooks. Climatological mid-May averages near 22°C align with this positioning, though inherent uncertainty from potential afternoon showers or variable cloud cover could shift outcomes toward 21°C (19%) or 23°C (25%). Watch AEMET's evening forecast refresh for final guidance ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Madrid on May 14?
Highest temperature in Madrid on May 14?
22°C 47%
23°C 28%
21°C 20%
24°C 4.9%
নতুন
$18,791 Vol.
নতুন
$18,791 Vol.
May 14, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
5%
21°C
20%
22°C
47%
23°C
28%
24°C
5%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
22°C 47%
23°C 28%
21°C 20%
24°C 4.9%
নতুন
$18,791 Vol.
নতুন
$18,791 Vol.
May 14, 2026
18°C or below
$3,394 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$2,125 Vol.
1%
20°C
$2,470 Vol.
5%
21°C
$1,921 Vol.
20%
22°C
$1,625 Vol.
47%
23°C
$1,373 Vol.
28%
24°C
$2,171 Vol.
5%
25°C
$1,370 Vol.
1%
26°C
$468 Vol.
1%
27°C
$886 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$1,067 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 22°C (44.5% implied probability) for Madrid on May 14, reflecting the latest AEMET and ECMWF ensemble forecasts converging on 21–23°C amid a building high-pressure ridge over Iberia. Recent developments include May 12's observed maximum of around 18°C under cloudy conditions at Madrid-Barajas Airport, with model updates yesterday showing increased solar insolation and light southerly winds boosting projected highs from prior cooler 20°C outlooks. Climatological mid-May averages near 22°C align with this positioning, though inherent uncertainty from potential afternoon showers or variable cloud cover could shift outcomes toward 21°C (19%) or 23°C (25%). Watch AEMET's evening forecast refresh for final guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 12, 2026, 12:44 AM ET
ভলিউম
$18,791শেষ তারিখ
May 14, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 12, 2026, 12:44 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 22°C (44.5% implied probability) for Madrid on May 14, reflecting the latest AEMET and ECMWF ensemble forecasts converging on 21–23°C amid a building high-pressure ridge over Iberia. Recent developments include May 12's observed maximum of around 18°C under cloudy conditions at Madrid-Barajas Airport, with model updates yesterday showing increased solar insolation and light southerly winds boosting projected highs from prior cooler 20°C outlooks. Climatological mid-May averages near 22°C align with this positioning, though inherent uncertainty from potential afternoon showers or variable cloud cover could shift outcomes toward 21°C (19%) or 23°C (25%). Watch AEMET's evening forecast refresh for final guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$18,791শেষ তারিখ
May 14, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 12, 2026, 12:44 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 22°C (44.5% implied probability) for Madrid on May 14, reflecting the latest AEMET and ECMWF ensemble forecasts converging on 21–23°C amid a building high-pressure ridge over Iberia. Recent developments include May 12's observed maximum of around 18°C under cloudy conditions at Madrid-Barajas Airport, with model updates yesterday showing increased solar insolation and light southerly winds boosting projected highs from prior cooler 20°C outlooks. Climatological mid-May averages near 22°C align with this positioning, though inherent uncertainty from potential afternoon showers or variable cloud cover could shift outcomes toward 21°C (19%) or 23°C (25%). Watch AEMET's evening forecast refresh for final guidance ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা