Recent National Weather Service observations and model guidance from the ongoing early-season heat wave have driven the overwhelming 99.7% market-implied probability for a 94-95°F high in New York City on May 20. Southerly flow under high pressure has sustained afternoon temperatures near 93–95°F amid elevated humidity and minimal cloud cover, aligning closely with climatological expectations for late-May peaks under similar synoptic patterns. Historical analogs from prior heat events confirm that such setups rarely exceed 96°F without stronger upper-level support. The only realistic challenges to this consensus would involve post-event revisions to official LaGuardia or Central Park readings due to sensor calibration or microclimate differences, or unexpected localized cooling from sea-breeze intrusion that official data ultimately do not support.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in NYC on May 20?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 20?
94-95°F 99.7%
96-97°F <1%
98-99°F <1%
104°F or higher <1%
$58,239 Vol.
$58,239 Vol.
May 20, 2026
94-95°F
100%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
<1%
104°F or higher
<1%
94-95°F 99.7%
96-97°F <1%
98-99°F <1%
104°F or higher <1%
$58,239 Vol.
$58,239 Vol.
May 20, 2026
94-95°F
$8,601 Vol.
100%
96-97°F
$8,897 Vol.
<1%
98-99°F
$2,362 Vol.
<1%
100-101°F
$2,245 Vol.
<1%
102-103°F
$1,502 Vol.
<1%
104°F or higher
$359 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service observations and model guidance from the ongoing early-season heat wave have driven the overwhelming 99.7% market-implied probability for a 94-95°F high in New York City on May 20. Southerly flow under high pressure has sustained afternoon temperatures near 93–95°F amid elevated humidity and minimal cloud cover, aligning closely with climatological expectations for late-May peaks under similar synoptic patterns. Historical analogs from prior heat events confirm that such setups rarely exceed 96°F without stronger upper-level support. The only realistic challenges to this consensus would involve post-event revisions to official LaGuardia or Central Park readings due to sensor calibration or microclimate differences, or unexpected localized cooling from sea-breeze intrusion that official data ultimately do not support.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 18, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
ভলিউম
$58,239শেষ তারিখ
May 20, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 18, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service observations and model guidance from the ongoing early-season heat wave have driven the overwhelming 99.7% market-implied probability for a 94-95°F high in New York City on May 20. Southerly flow under high pressure has sustained afternoon temperatures near 93–95°F amid elevated humidity and minimal cloud cover, aligning closely with climatological expectations for late-May peaks under similar synoptic patterns. Historical analogs from prior heat events confirm that such setups rarely exceed 96°F without stronger upper-level support. The only realistic challenges to this consensus would involve post-event revisions to official LaGuardia or Central Park readings due to sensor calibration or microclimate differences, or unexpected localized cooling from sea-breeze intrusion that official data ultimately do not support.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$58,239শেষ তারিখ
May 20, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 18, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service observations and model guidance from the ongoing early-season heat wave have driven the overwhelming 99.7% market-implied probability for a 94-95°F high in New York City on May 20. Southerly flow under high pressure has sustained afternoon temperatures near 93–95°F amid elevated humidity and minimal cloud cover, aligning closely with climatological expectations for late-May peaks under similar synoptic patterns. Historical analogs from prior heat events confirm that such setups rarely exceed 96°F without stronger upper-level support. The only realistic challenges to this consensus would involve post-event revisions to official LaGuardia or Central Park readings due to sensor calibration or microclimate differences, or unexpected localized cooling from sea-breeze intrusion that official data ultimately do not support.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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