Recent MetService forecasts and numerical weather prediction model consensus for Wellington point to a maximum of 16°C today under a mild northerly flow, with light winds and limited cloud cover allowing modest daytime warming. This setup explains why the 16°C and 17°C outcomes trade near even odds at 41.5% each: small shifts in advection strength or the exact timing of any high-level moisture could push the peak either side of that threshold. Historical May averages near 14°C provide context, yet current conditions favor the upper end of the typical range without reaching the 18°C+ scenarios priced under 8% combined. Updated model runs later today will clarify whether any additional warming materializes before evening cooling sets in.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Wellington on May 21?
Highest temperature in Wellington on May 21?
17°C 46%
16°C 45%
18°C 6.7%
19°C <1%
নতুন
$44,860 Vol.
নতুন
$44,860 Vol.
May 21, 2026
16°C
45%
17°C
49%
18°C
7%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
17°C 46%
16°C 45%
18°C 6.7%
19°C <1%
নতুন
$44,860 Vol.
নতুন
$44,860 Vol.
May 21, 2026
16°C
$1,727 Vol.
45%
17°C
$1,712 Vol.
49%
18°C
$1,799 Vol.
7%
19°C
$1,777 Vol.
1%
20°C or higher
$779 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent MetService forecasts and numerical weather prediction model consensus for Wellington point to a maximum of 16°C today under a mild northerly flow, with light winds and limited cloud cover allowing modest daytime warming. This setup explains why the 16°C and 17°C outcomes trade near even odds at 41.5% each: small shifts in advection strength or the exact timing of any high-level moisture could push the peak either side of that threshold. Historical May averages near 14°C provide context, yet current conditions favor the upper end of the typical range without reaching the 18°C+ scenarios priced under 8% combined. Updated model runs later today will clarify whether any additional warming materializes before evening cooling sets in.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
ভলিউম
$44,860শেষ তারিখ
May 21, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent MetService forecasts and numerical weather prediction model consensus for Wellington point to a maximum of 16°C today under a mild northerly flow, with light winds and limited cloud cover allowing modest daytime warming. This setup explains why the 16°C and 17°C outcomes trade near even odds at 41.5% each: small shifts in advection strength or the exact timing of any high-level moisture could push the peak either side of that threshold. Historical May averages near 14°C provide context, yet current conditions favor the upper end of the typical range without reaching the 18°C+ scenarios priced under 8% combined. Updated model runs later today will clarify whether any additional warming materializes before evening cooling sets in.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$44,860শেষ তারিখ
May 21, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent MetService forecasts and numerical weather prediction model consensus for Wellington point to a maximum of 16°C today under a mild northerly flow, with light winds and limited cloud cover allowing modest daytime warming. This setup explains why the 16°C and 17°C outcomes trade near even odds at 41.5% each: small shifts in advection strength or the exact timing of any high-level moisture could push the peak either side of that threshold. Historical May averages near 14°C provide context, yet current conditions favor the upper end of the typical range without reaching the 18°C+ scenarios priced under 8% combined. Updated model runs later today will clarify whether any additional warming materializes before evening cooling sets in.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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