Recent observational data from Taipei weather stations, including central meteorological agency reports, confirm the day's peak temperature reached 36°C amid clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and high solar insolation typical of late September conditions. This aligns with multiple forecast model runs projecting a maximum in that narrow range, consistent with climatological norms for the period and current humidity levels around 45-50% that supported efficient daytime heating without significant convective cooling. The market's near-certain implied probability for 36°C reflects trader consensus on these verified measurements as resolution nears. Unlikely challenges include rare post-event data revisions by official sources or discrepancies between automated and manual station readings.