Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS show a trough crossing central Europe, advecting cooler maritime air and increasing mid-level cloud cover over Warsaw by July 5, which limits surface insolation and caps maximum temperatures near 20–21 °C. Scattered showers or isolated thunderstorms expected during peak heating hours further suppress readings by enhancing evaporative cooling and reducing the diurnal temperature range. These conditions deviate from the July climatological average high of ~24 °C, explaining why 20 °C and 21 °C hold the highest implied probabilities while 22 °C+ remain low-single-digit outcomes. Minor model spread in precipitation timing and boundary-layer mixing creates the tight clustering around 19–21 °C.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Warsaw on July 5?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on July 5?
20°C 45%
21°C 28%
19°C 14.2%
22°C 12%
নতুন
$24,571 Vol.
নতুন
$24,571 Vol.
Jul 5, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
14%
20°C
45%
21°C
28%
22°C
12%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
1%
20°C 45%
21°C 28%
19°C 14.2%
22°C 12%
নতুন
$24,571 Vol.
নতুন
$24,571 Vol.
Jul 5, 2026
14°C or below
$597 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$593 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$797 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$651 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$2,527 Vol.
1%
19°C
$2,556 Vol.
14%
20°C
$2,975 Vol.
45%
21°C
$8,821 Vol.
28%
22°C
$1,991 Vol.
12%
23°C
$1,544 Vol.
2%
24°C or higher
$1,519 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS show a trough crossing central Europe, advecting cooler maritime air and increasing mid-level cloud cover over Warsaw by July 5, which limits surface insolation and caps maximum temperatures near 20–21 °C. Scattered showers or isolated thunderstorms expected during peak heating hours further suppress readings by enhancing evaporative cooling and reducing the diurnal temperature range. These conditions deviate from the July climatological average high of ~24 °C, explaining why 20 °C and 21 °C hold the highest implied probabilities while 22 °C+ remain low-single-digit outcomes. Minor model spread in precipitation timing and boundary-layer mixing creates the tight clustering around 19–21 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 3, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
ভলিউম
$24,571শেষ তারিখ
Jul 5, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 3, 2026, 12:02 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS show a trough crossing central Europe, advecting cooler maritime air and increasing mid-level cloud cover over Warsaw by July 5, which limits surface insolation and caps maximum temperatures near 20–21 °C. Scattered showers or isolated thunderstorms expected during peak heating hours further suppress readings by enhancing evaporative cooling and reducing the diurnal temperature range. These conditions deviate from the July climatological average high of ~24 °C, explaining why 20 °C and 21 °C hold the highest implied probabilities while 22 °C+ remain low-single-digit outcomes. Minor model spread in precipitation timing and boundary-layer mixing creates the tight clustering around 19–21 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$24,571শেষ তারিখ
Jul 5, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 3, 2026, 12:02 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS show a trough crossing central Europe, advecting cooler maritime air and increasing mid-level cloud cover over Warsaw by July 5, which limits surface insolation and caps maximum temperatures near 20–21 °C. Scattered showers or isolated thunderstorms expected during peak heating hours further suppress readings by enhancing evaporative cooling and reducing the diurnal temperature range. These conditions deviate from the July climatological average high of ~24 °C, explaining why 20 °C and 21 °C hold the highest implied probabilities while 22 °C+ remain low-single-digit outcomes. Minor model spread in precipitation timing and boundary-layer mixing creates the tight clustering around 19–21 °C.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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