Short-term forecasts from MetService and international models currently project a daytime maximum of 15°C for Wellington on July 15, supported by northerly flow advecting milder maritime air ahead of a frontal system. This aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 15°C (46.5%) and 16°C (31%), above the typical July average high near 12–13°C. NIWA’s seasonal outlook for May–July 2026 indicates temperatures are most likely near or below average across the region, yet the specific synoptic pattern for mid-month is producing the observed mild signal. Key variables include wind direction shifts, cloud cover, and any late intensification of the approaching front, with updated model runs expected to refine the exact peak before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Wellington on July 15?
Highest temperature in Wellington on July 15?
15°C 61%
16°C 32%
14°C 5.2%
17°C 1.5%
নতুন
$13,297 Vol.
নতুন
$13,297 Vol.
Jul 15, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
5%
15°C
61%
16°C
32%
17°C
2%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
15°C 61%
16°C 32%
14°C 5.2%
17°C 1.5%
নতুন
$13,297 Vol.
নতুন
$13,297 Vol.
Jul 15, 2026
10°C or below
$271 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$461 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$423 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$1,069 Vol.
1%
14°C
$1,979 Vol.
5%
15°C
$4,268 Vol.
61%
16°C
$2,120 Vol.
32%
17°C
$790 Vol.
2%
18°C
$777 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$386 Vol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$753 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecasts from MetService and international models currently project a daytime maximum of 15°C for Wellington on July 15, supported by northerly flow advecting milder maritime air ahead of a frontal system. This aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 15°C (46.5%) and 16°C (31%), above the typical July average high near 12–13°C. NIWA’s seasonal outlook for May–July 2026 indicates temperatures are most likely near or below average across the region, yet the specific synoptic pattern for mid-month is producing the observed mild signal. Key variables include wind direction shifts, cloud cover, and any late intensification of the approaching front, with updated model runs expected to refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 13, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
ভলিউম
$13,297শেষ তারিখ
Jul 15, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 13, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecasts from MetService and international models currently project a daytime maximum of 15°C for Wellington on July 15, supported by northerly flow advecting milder maritime air ahead of a frontal system. This aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 15°C (46.5%) and 16°C (31%), above the typical July average high near 12–13°C. NIWA’s seasonal outlook for May–July 2026 indicates temperatures are most likely near or below average across the region, yet the specific synoptic pattern for mid-month is producing the observed mild signal. Key variables include wind direction shifts, cloud cover, and any late intensification of the approaching front, with updated model runs expected to refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$13,297শেষ তারিখ
Jul 15, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 13, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-term forecasts from MetService and international models currently project a daytime maximum of 15°C for Wellington on July 15, supported by northerly flow advecting milder maritime air ahead of a frontal system. This aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 15°C (46.5%) and 16°C (31%), above the typical July average high near 12–13°C. NIWA’s seasonal outlook for May–July 2026 indicates temperatures are most likely near or below average across the region, yet the specific synoptic pattern for mid-month is producing the observed mild signal. Key variables include wind direction shifts, cloud cover, and any late intensification of the approaching front, with updated model runs expected to refine the exact peak before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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