Recent July 2026 employment data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics showed nonfarm payrolls contracting by 23,000 while the unemployment rate eased to 4.1% from 4.2% in June, reflecting a shrinking labor force and participation rate at 61.4%. The Federal Reserve has held the policy rate at 3.50-3.75% amid elevated inflation, prioritizing price stability over further labor-market support even as job gains have slowed and the U-6 underutilization measure remains elevated near 8%. With 2026 now more than halfway complete and the rate well below 5%, trader-implied odds favor a modest peak, though upcoming monthly releases and any FOMC shift toward easing could alter the path.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড$481,360 Vol.
Jan 10, 2026
5.0%
10%
5.5%
8%
6.0%
7%
7.0%
5%
10.0%
3%
$481,360 Vol.
5.0%
$123,066 Vol.
10%
5.5%
$200,573 Vol.
8%
6.0%
$75,518 Vol.
7%
7.0%
$31,207 Vol.
5%
10.0%
$50,996 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in an “Employment Situation Report” for a reference month in 2026 is greater than or equal to the listed percentage. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026. This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released. If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve based on all previously published data up to that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent July 2026 employment data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics showed nonfarm payrolls contracting by 23,000 while the unemployment rate eased to 4.1% from 4.2% in June, reflecting a shrinking labor force and participation rate at 61.4%. The Federal Reserve has held the policy rate at 3.50-3.75% amid elevated inflation, prioritizing price stability over further labor-market support even as job gains have slowed and the U-6 underutilization measure remains elevated near 8%. With 2026 now more than halfway complete and the rate well below 5%, trader-implied odds favor a modest peak, though upcoming monthly releases and any FOMC shift toward easing could alter the path.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in an “Employment Situation Report” for a reference month in 2026 is greater than or equal to the listed percentage. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026. This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released. If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve based on all previously published data up to that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026. This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released. If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve based on all previously published data up to that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 2, 2026, 1:53 PM ET
ভলিউম
$481,360শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 2, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in an “Employment Situation Report” for a reference month in 2026 is greater than or equal to the listed percentage. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026. This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released. If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve based on all previously published data up to that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent July 2026 employment data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics showed nonfarm payrolls contracting by 23,000 while the unemployment rate eased to 4.1% from 4.2% in June, reflecting a shrinking labor force and participation rate at 61.4%. The Federal Reserve has held the policy rate at 3.50-3.75% amid elevated inflation, prioritizing price stability over further labor-market support even as job gains have slowed and the U-6 underutilization measure remains elevated near 8%. With 2026 now more than halfway complete and the rate well below 5%, trader-implied odds favor a modest peak, though upcoming monthly releases and any FOMC shift toward easing could alter the path.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in an “Employment Situation Report” for a reference month in 2026 is greater than or equal to the listed percentage. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026. This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released. If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve based on all previously published data up to that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026. This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released. If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve based on all previously published data up to that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
ভলিউম
$481,360শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 2, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent July 2026 employment data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics showed nonfarm payrolls contracting by 23,000 while the unemployment rate eased to 4.1% from 4.2% in June, reflecting a shrinking labor force and participation rate at 61.4%. The Federal Reserve has held the policy rate at 3.50-3.75% amid elevated inflation, prioritizing price stability over further labor-market support even as job gains have slowed and the U-6 underutilization measure remains elevated near 8%. With 2026 now more than halfway complete and the rate well below 5%, trader-implied odds favor a modest peak, though upcoming monthly releases and any FOMC shift toward easing could alter the path.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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