The U.S. unemployment rate has remained steady at 4.3 percent through April 2026, with nonfarm payrolls rising by just 115,000 that month amid a low-hire, low-fire equilibrium in the labor market. Moderating job growth, combined with reduced net immigration and potential tariff-related headwinds, has kept the rate near its recent range while allowing forecasters to project a modest peak around 4.6–4.7 percent later in the year before any stabilization. The Federal Reserve continues to monitor dual-mandate risks, with the next employment report and policy meeting expected to clarify whether further softening will push the rate higher or keep it contained near current levels. Trader positioning on the 2026 peak reflects these balanced but uncertain dynamics, anchored to official releases and baseline economic projections.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড$388,622 Vol.
Jan 10, 2026
5.0%
28%
5.5%
14%
6.0%
13%
7.0%
10%
10.0%
4%
$388,622 Vol.
5.0%
$102,277 Vol.
28%
5.5%
$186,661 Vol.
14%
6.0%
$52,180 Vol.
13%
7.0%
$21,510 Vol.
10%
10.0%
$25,993 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in an “Employment Situation Report” for a reference month in 2026 is greater than or equal to the listed percentage. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026. This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released. If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve based on all previously published data up to that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.The U.S. unemployment rate has remained steady at 4.3 percent through April 2026, with nonfarm payrolls rising by just 115,000 that month amid a low-hire, low-fire equilibrium in the labor market. Moderating job growth, combined with reduced net immigration and potential tariff-related headwinds, has kept the rate near its recent range while allowing forecasters to project a modest peak around 4.6–4.7 percent later in the year before any stabilization. The Federal Reserve continues to monitor dual-mandate risks, with the next employment report and policy meeting expected to clarify whether further softening will push the rate higher or keep it contained near current levels. Trader positioning on the 2026 peak reflects these balanced but uncertain dynamics, anchored to official releases and baseline economic projections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in an “Employment Situation Report” for a reference month in 2026 is greater than or equal to the listed percentage. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026. This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released. If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve based on all previously published data up to that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026. This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released. If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve based on all previously published data up to that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 2, 2026, 1:53 PM ET
ভলিউম
$388,622শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 2, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in an “Employment Situation Report” for a reference month in 2026 is greater than or equal to the listed percentage. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026. This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released. If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve based on all previously published data up to that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.The U.S. unemployment rate has remained steady at 4.3 percent through April 2026, with nonfarm payrolls rising by just 115,000 that month amid a low-hire, low-fire equilibrium in the labor market. Moderating job growth, combined with reduced net immigration and potential tariff-related headwinds, has kept the rate near its recent range while allowing forecasters to project a modest peak around 4.6–4.7 percent later in the year before any stabilization. The Federal Reserve continues to monitor dual-mandate risks, with the next employment report and policy meeting expected to clarify whether further softening will push the rate higher or keep it contained near current levels. Trader positioning on the 2026 peak reflects these balanced but uncertain dynamics, anchored to official releases and baseline economic projections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in an “Employment Situation Report” for a reference month in 2026 is greater than or equal to the listed percentage. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026. This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released. If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve based on all previously published data up to that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026. This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released. If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve based on all previously published data up to that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
ভলিউম
$388,622শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 2, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The U.S. unemployment rate has remained steady at 4.3 percent through April 2026, with nonfarm payrolls rising by just 115,000 that month amid a low-hire, low-fire equilibrium in the labor market. Moderating job growth, combined with reduced net immigration and potential tariff-related headwinds, has kept the rate near its recent range while allowing forecasters to project a modest peak around 4.6–4.7 percent later in the year before any stabilization. The Federal Reserve continues to monitor dual-mandate risks, with the next employment report and policy meeting expected to clarify whether further softening will push the rate higher or keep it contained near current levels. Trader positioning on the 2026 peak reflects these balanced but uncertain dynamics, anchored to official releases and baseline economic projections.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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