Recent labor market data, including mixed signals from initial claims and private payroll surveys, have left June nonfarm payrolls highly uncertain, with market-implied probabilities tightly clustered between 39% and 42.5% across the 0-200k ranges. Traders are weighing the potential for continued cooling in hiring momentum against risks of a sharper slowdown, influenced by prior-month revisions, wage growth trends, and broader economic resilience. The spread in odds underscores the lack of a clear consensus ahead of the release, as Fed policy expectations remain sensitive to employment thresholds that could shift rate path views.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড50k – 100k 41%
100k – 150k 41%
0 – 50k 41%
200k+ 41%
নতুন
নতুন
Jul 3, 2026
<0
11%
0 – 50k
41%
50k – 100k
41%
100k – 150k
41%
150k – 200k
37%
200k+
41%
50k – 100k 41%
100k – 150k 41%
0 – 50k 41%
200k+ 41%
নতুন
নতুন
Jul 3, 2026
<0
$51 Vol.
11%
0 – 50k
$41 Vol.
41%
50k – 100k
$0 Vol.
41%
100k – 150k
$40 Vol.
41%
150k – 200k
$0 Vol.
37%
200k+
$0 Vol.
41%
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for June 2026, scheduled to be released on July 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmRecent labor market data, including mixed signals from initial claims and private payroll surveys, have left June nonfarm payrolls highly uncertain, with market-implied probabilities tightly clustered between 39% and 42.5% across the 0-200k ranges. Traders are weighing the potential for continued cooling in hiring momentum against risks of a sharper slowdown, influenced by prior-month revisions, wage growth trends, and broader economic resilience. The spread in odds underscores the lack of a clear consensus ahead of the release, as Fed policy expectations remain sensitive to employment thresholds that could shift rate path views.
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for June 2026, scheduled to be released on July 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jun 5, 2026, 4:26 PM ET
ভলিউম
$132শেষ তারিখ
Jul 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jun 5, 2026, 4:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for June 2026, scheduled to be released on July 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmRecent labor market data, including mixed signals from initial claims and private payroll surveys, have left June nonfarm payrolls highly uncertain, with market-implied probabilities tightly clustered between 39% and 42.5% across the 0-200k ranges. Traders are weighing the potential for continued cooling in hiring momentum against risks of a sharper slowdown, influenced by prior-month revisions, wage growth trends, and broader economic resilience. The spread in odds underscores the lack of a clear consensus ahead of the release, as Fed policy expectations remain sensitive to employment thresholds that could shift rate path views.
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for June 2026, scheduled to be released on July 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
ভলিউম
$132শেষ তারিখ
Jul 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jun 5, 2026, 4:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent labor market data, including mixed signals from initial claims and private payroll surveys, have left June nonfarm payrolls highly uncertain, with market-implied probabilities tightly clustered between 39% and 42.5% across the 0-200k ranges. Traders are weighing the potential for continued cooling in hiring momentum against risks of a sharper slowdown, influenced by prior-month revisions, wage growth trends, and broader economic resilience. The spread in odds underscores the lack of a clear consensus ahead of the release, as Fed policy expectations remain sensitive to employment thresholds that could shift rate path views.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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