Trader consensus places the highest implied probability on two US aircraft carriers operating in the CENTCOM area on November 30, consistent with standard carrier strike group rotations supporting maritime security amid Iran-related tensions. Current deployments include the USS George Washington and USS George H.W. Bush in the region, while the USS Theodore Roosevelt departed San Diego in late September and could reach the theater by late November depending on transit and operational decisions. This timing uncertainty, combined with potential carrier swaps or drawdowns, underpins the distribution across one or three carriers. No major new announcements in the past week have altered these baseline expectations.