Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 64.5% to win Iowa's 1st Congressional District House seat, driven by the anticipated rematch between incumbent Rep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R) and 2024 nominee Christina Bohannan (D), who lost by fewer than 800 votes in a razor-thin margin. Recent Federal Election Commission filings from mid-April revealed Bohannan's fundraising advantage over the three-term incumbent, fueling optimism among traders in this battleground encompassing southeast Iowa suburbs. With June 2 primaries imminent to confirm nominees—Bohannan heavily favored in the Democratic contest amid a narrowed field—national Democrats continue targeting the district as a prime flip opportunity, reflecting suburban voter realignments observed since 2018. GOP holds remain viable given incumbency and district lean.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডIA-01 House Election Winner
IA-01 House Election Winner
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
65%
Republican Party
31%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$734 Vol.
65%
Republican Party
$641 Vol.
31%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 64.5% to win Iowa's 1st Congressional District House seat, driven by the anticipated rematch between incumbent Rep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R) and 2024 nominee Christina Bohannan (D), who lost by fewer than 800 votes in a razor-thin margin. Recent Federal Election Commission filings from mid-April revealed Bohannan's fundraising advantage over the three-term incumbent, fueling optimism among traders in this battleground encompassing southeast Iowa suburbs. With June 2 primaries imminent to confirm nominees—Bohannan heavily favored in the Democratic contest amid a narrowed field—national Democrats continue targeting the district as a prime flip opportunity, reflecting suburban voter realignments observed since 2018. GOP holds remain viable given incumbency and district lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Dec 16, 2025, 11:57 AM ET
ভলিউম
$1,374শেষ তারিখ
Nov 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 16, 2025, 11:57 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 64.5% to win Iowa's 1st Congressional District House seat, driven by the anticipated rematch between incumbent Rep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R) and 2024 nominee Christina Bohannan (D), who lost by fewer than 800 votes in a razor-thin margin. Recent Federal Election Commission filings from mid-April revealed Bohannan's fundraising advantage over the three-term incumbent, fueling optimism among traders in this battleground encompassing southeast Iowa suburbs. With June 2 primaries imminent to confirm nominees—Bohannan heavily favored in the Democratic contest amid a narrowed field—national Democrats continue targeting the district as a prime flip opportunity, reflecting suburban voter realignments observed since 2018. GOP holds remain viable given incumbency and district lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$1,374শেষ তারিখ
Nov 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 16, 2025, 11:57 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 64.5% to win Iowa's 1st Congressional District House seat, driven by the anticipated rematch between incumbent Rep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R) and 2024 nominee Christina Bohannan (D), who lost by fewer than 800 votes in a razor-thin margin. Recent Federal Election Commission filings from mid-April revealed Bohannan's fundraising advantage over the three-term incumbent, fueling optimism among traders in this battleground encompassing southeast Iowa suburbs. With June 2 primaries imminent to confirm nominees—Bohannan heavily favored in the Democratic contest amid a narrowed field—national Democrats continue targeting the district as a prime flip opportunity, reflecting suburban voter realignments observed since 2018. GOP holds remain viable given incumbency and district lean.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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