Incumbent Rep. Brad Finstad (R) holds a commanding position in Minnesota's 1st Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+6 partisan lean, driving trader consensus to price a GOP hold at 60.5%. Finstad's 17-point reelection victory in 2024, outperforming Trump's 12-point district win, bolsters his incumbency advantage against Democratic challenger Jake Johnson, the likely nominee after emerging as the sole primary contender. A March Ragnar Research poll showed Finstad leading 52%-42%, though Johnson posted competitive Q1 fundraising with over $1.2 million raised. With primaries on August 11 and the general election November 3, no major shifts have occurred in the past 30 days, leaving odds reflective of district fundamentals and polling trends.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডMN-01 House Election Winner
MN-01 House Election Winner
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
61%
Democratic Party
37%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$3,041 Vol.
61%
Democratic Party
$3,590 Vol.
37%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Brad Finstad (R) holds a commanding position in Minnesota's 1st Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+6 partisan lean, driving trader consensus to price a GOP hold at 60.5%. Finstad's 17-point reelection victory in 2024, outperforming Trump's 12-point district win, bolsters his incumbency advantage against Democratic challenger Jake Johnson, the likely nominee after emerging as the sole primary contender. A March Ragnar Research poll showed Finstad leading 52%-42%, though Johnson posted competitive Q1 fundraising with over $1.2 million raised. With primaries on August 11 and the general election November 3, no major shifts have occurred in the past 30 days, leaving odds reflective of district fundamentals and polling trends.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ভলিউম
$6,631শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Brad Finstad (R) holds a commanding position in Minnesota's 1st Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+6 partisan lean, driving trader consensus to price a GOP hold at 60.5%. Finstad's 17-point reelection victory in 2024, outperforming Trump's 12-point district win, bolsters his incumbency advantage against Democratic challenger Jake Johnson, the likely nominee after emerging as the sole primary contender. A March Ragnar Research poll showed Finstad leading 52%-42%, though Johnson posted competitive Q1 fundraising with over $1.2 million raised. With primaries on August 11 and the general election November 3, no major shifts have occurred in the past 30 days, leaving odds reflective of district fundamentals and polling trends.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$6,631শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Brad Finstad (R) holds a commanding position in Minnesota's 1st Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+6 partisan lean, driving trader consensus to price a GOP hold at 60.5%. Finstad's 17-point reelection victory in 2024, outperforming Trump's 12-point district win, bolsters his incumbency advantage against Democratic challenger Jake Johnson, the likely nominee after emerging as the sole primary contender. A March Ragnar Research poll showed Finstad leading 52%-42%, though Johnson posted competitive Q1 fundraising with over $1.2 million raised. With primaries on August 11 and the general election November 3, no major shifts have occurred in the past 30 days, leaving odds reflective of district fundamentals and polling trends.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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