The Texas U.S. Senate race remains tightly contested ahead of the May 26 Republican primary runoff between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton, with recent polls like the University of Houston Hobby School survey (April 28-May 5) showing Paxton at 48% to Cornyn's 45% among likely GOP runoff voters. Democratic nominee state Rep. James Talarico leads both Republicans in April general election polls—such as Texas Public Opinion Research (Talarico 44%-41% over Cornyn, 46%-41% over Paxton)—bolstered by former President Obama's May 12 endorsement and strong support among independents, Latinos, and urban voters amid President Trump's low approval ratings. Trader consensus tilts Republican at 53.5% due to Texas's historical GOP lean, Cornyn's fundraising edge, and skepticism of early Democratic surges in a state without a statewide Democratic win since 1994; separation could come from the runoff outcome, a Trump endorsement, or post-primary polling shifts on inflation and border security priorities.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডTexas Senate Election Winner
Texas Senate Election Winner
$201,754 Vol.
$201,754 Vol.

Republican
54%

Democrat
46%
$201,754 Vol.
$201,754 Vol.

Republican
54%

Democrat
46%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Texas U.S. Senate race remains tightly contested ahead of the May 26 Republican primary runoff between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton, with recent polls like the University of Houston Hobby School survey (April 28-May 5) showing Paxton at 48% to Cornyn's 45% among likely GOP runoff voters. Democratic nominee state Rep. James Talarico leads both Republicans in April general election polls—such as Texas Public Opinion Research (Talarico 44%-41% over Cornyn, 46%-41% over Paxton)—bolstered by former President Obama's May 12 endorsement and strong support among independents, Latinos, and urban voters amid President Trump's low approval ratings. Trader consensus tilts Republican at 53.5% due to Texas's historical GOP lean, Cornyn's fundraising edge, and skepticism of early Democratic surges in a state without a statewide Democratic win since 1994; separation could come from the runoff outcome, a Trump endorsement, or post-primary polling shifts on inflation and border security priorities.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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