David Crowley secured the Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial nomination on August 11, 2026, defeating Francesca Hong by a margin under half a percentage point after a late surge fueled by his reentry in July, endorsement from outgoing Governor Tony Evers, and stronger performance among less-educated voters. Preliminary tallies and Hong’s concession confirmed the outcome, aligning with the market’s near-certain pricing on a sub-1% Crowley win despite pre-election polling that had Hong leading by double digits. Full certification, any late adjustments in vote counts, or an unexpected recount petition remain the only realistic paths that could alter the bracket assignment, though both appear improbable given the current results and procedural timeline.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডCrowley <1% 99.6%
Crowley 1–2% <1%
Crowley 2–3% <1%
Crowley 3–4% <1%
$101,053 Vol.
$101,053 Vol.
Aug 13, 2026
Hong 6%+
<1%
Hong 5–6%
<1%
Hong 4–5%
<1%
Hong 3–4%
<1%
Hong 2–3%
<1%
Hong 1–2%
<1%
Hong <1%
<1%
Crowley <1%
100%
Crowley 1–2%
<1%
Crowley 2–3%
<1%
Crowley 3–4%
<1%
Crowley 4–5%
<1%
Crowley 5–6%
<1%
Crowley 6%+
<1%
Crowley <1% 99.6%
Crowley 1–2% <1%
Crowley 2–3% <1%
Crowley 3–4% <1%
$101,053 Vol.
$101,053 Vol.
Aug 13, 2026
Hong 6%+
$12,563 Vol.
<1%
Hong 5–6%
$3,714 Vol.
<1%
Hong 4–5%
$3,377 Vol.
<1%
Hong 3–4%
$11,011 Vol.
<1%
Hong 2–3%
$2,738 Vol.
<1%
Hong 1–2%
$8,472 Vol.
<1%
Hong <1%
$4,537 Vol.
<1%
Crowley <1%
$18,896 Vol.
100%
Crowley 1–2%
$11,063 Vol.
<1%
Crowley 2–3%
$9,850 Vol.
<1%
Crowley 3–4%
$5,131 Vol.
<1%
Crowley 4–5%
$2,286 Vol.
<1%
Crowley 5–6%
$3,312 Vol.
<1%
Crowley 6%+
$4,102 Vol.
<1%
The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.David Crowley secured the Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial nomination on August 11, 2026, defeating Francesca Hong by a margin under half a percentage point after a late surge fueled by his reentry in July, endorsement from outgoing Governor Tony Evers, and stronger performance among less-educated voters. Preliminary tallies and Hong’s concession confirmed the outcome, aligning with the market’s near-certain pricing on a sub-1% Crowley win despite pre-election polling that had Hong leading by double digits. Full certification, any late adjustments in vote counts, or an unexpected recount petition remain the only realistic paths that could alter the bracket assignment, though both appear improbable given the current results and procedural timeline.
The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 11, 2026, 10:03 PM ET
ভলিউম
$101,053শেষ তারিখ
Aug 12, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 11, 2026, 10:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.David Crowley secured the Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial nomination on August 11, 2026, defeating Francesca Hong by a margin under half a percentage point after a late surge fueled by his reentry in July, endorsement from outgoing Governor Tony Evers, and stronger performance among less-educated voters. Preliminary tallies and Hong’s concession confirmed the outcome, aligning with the market’s near-certain pricing on a sub-1% Crowley win despite pre-election polling that had Hong leading by double digits. Full certification, any late adjustments in vote counts, or an unexpected recount petition remain the only realistic paths that could alter the bracket assignment, though both appear improbable given the current results and procedural timeline.
The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
ভলিউম
$101,053শেষ তারিখ
Aug 12, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 11, 2026, 10:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...David Crowley secured the Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial nomination on August 11, 2026, defeating Francesca Hong by a margin under half a percentage point after a late surge fueled by his reentry in July, endorsement from outgoing Governor Tony Evers, and stronger performance among less-educated voters. Preliminary tallies and Hong’s concession confirmed the outcome, aligning with the market’s near-certain pricing on a sub-1% Crowley win despite pre-election polling that had Hong leading by double digits. Full certification, any late adjustments in vote counts, or an unexpected recount petition remain the only realistic paths that could alter the bracket assignment, though both appear improbable given the current results and procedural timeline.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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