Trader consensus heavily favors United Russia to secure the most seats in Russia's September 18-20 State Duma elections, driven by its structural dominance through administrative resources, single-member district advantages, and Kremlin-orchestrated electoral engineering like expanded electronic voting and constituency redistricting. Early May polls, including FOM (39% UR) and WCIOM (31%), confirm a solid lead over fragmented opposition—LDPR around 11%, CPRF 9-12%, New People 6%—despite souring voter sentiment from economic stagnation, internet blackouts, and Q1 GDP contraction. Party list headed by Dmitry Medvedev integrates war veterans, reinforcing loyalty. Realistic challenges include turnout collapse or New People's media-driven surge eroding list votes, though opacity and incumbency barriers remain formidable.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডইউনাইটেড রাশিয়া (ইআর) 95.2%
নিউ পিপল (এনএল) 2.6%
রাশিয়ার কমিউনিস্ট পার্টি (কেপিআরএফ) 1.0%
ন্যায়পরায়ণ রাশিয়া – সত্যের জন্য (এসআরজেডপি) <1%
$1,334,874 Vol.
$1,334,874 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
ইউনাইটেড রাশিয়া (ইআর)
95%
নিউ পিপল (এনএল)
3%
রাশিয়ার কমিউনিস্ট পার্টি (কেপিআরএফ)
1%
ন্যায়পরায়ণ রাশিয়া – সত্যের জন্য (এসআরজেডপি)
1%
লিবারেল ডেমোক্রেটিক পার্টি অফ রাশিয়া (এলডিপিআর)
<1%
রোদিনা
<1%
সিভিক প্ল্যাটফর্ম (জিপি)
<1%
ইউনাইটেড রাশিয়া (ইআর) 95.2%
নিউ পিপল (এনএল) 2.6%
রাশিয়ার কমিউনিস্ট পার্টি (কেপিআরএফ) 1.0%
ন্যায়পরায়ণ রাশিয়া – সত্যের জন্য (এসআরজেডপি) <1%
$1,334,874 Vol.
$1,334,874 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
ইউনাইটেড রাশিয়া (ইআর)
$513,542 Vol.
95%
নিউ পিপল (এনএল)
$79,864 Vol.
3%
রাশিয়ার কমিউনিস্ট পার্টি (কেপিআরএফ)
$103,036 Vol.
1%
ন্যায়পরায়ণ রাশিয়া – সত্যের জন্য (এসআরজেডপি)
$228,134 Vol.
1%
লিবারেল ডেমোক্রেটিক পার্টি অফ রাশিয়া (এলডিপিআর)
$78,677 Vol.
<1%
রোদিনা
$221,908 Vol.
<1%
সিভিক প্ল্যাটফর্ম (জিপি)
$109,713 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Trader consensus heavily favors United Russia to secure the most seats in Russia's September 18-20 State Duma elections, driven by its structural dominance through administrative resources, single-member district advantages, and Kremlin-orchestrated electoral engineering like expanded electronic voting and constituency redistricting. Early May polls, including FOM (39% UR) and WCIOM (31%), confirm a solid lead over fragmented opposition—LDPR around 11%, CPRF 9-12%, New People 6%—despite souring voter sentiment from economic stagnation, internet blackouts, and Q1 GDP contraction. Party list headed by Dmitry Medvedev integrates war veterans, reinforcing loyalty. Realistic challenges include turnout collapse or New People's media-driven surge eroding list votes, though opacity and incumbency barriers remain formidable.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
ভলিউম
$1,334,874শেষ তারিখ
Sep 20, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Trader consensus heavily favors United Russia to secure the most seats in Russia's September 18-20 State Duma elections, driven by its structural dominance through administrative resources, single-member district advantages, and Kremlin-orchestrated electoral engineering like expanded electronic voting and constituency redistricting. Early May polls, including FOM (39% UR) and WCIOM (31%), confirm a solid lead over fragmented opposition—LDPR around 11%, CPRF 9-12%, New People 6%—despite souring voter sentiment from economic stagnation, internet blackouts, and Q1 GDP contraction. Party list headed by Dmitry Medvedev integrates war veterans, reinforcing loyalty. Realistic challenges include turnout collapse or New People's media-driven surge eroding list votes, though opacity and incumbency barriers remain formidable.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
ভলিউম
$1,334,874শেষ তারিখ
Sep 20, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors United Russia to secure the most seats in Russia's September 18-20 State Duma elections, driven by its structural dominance through administrative resources, single-member district advantages, and Kremlin-orchestrated electoral engineering like expanded electronic voting and constituency redistricting. Early May polls, including FOM (39% UR) and WCIOM (31%), confirm a solid lead over fragmented opposition—LDPR around 11%, CPRF 9-12%, New People 6%—despite souring voter sentiment from economic stagnation, internet blackouts, and Q1 GDP contraction. Party list headed by Dmitry Medvedev integrates war veterans, reinforcing loyalty. Realistic challenges include turnout collapse or New People's media-driven surge eroding list votes, though opacity and incumbency barriers remain formidable.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা