**KPRF maintains a dominant position in trader assessments for second place behind United Russia in the September 2026 State Duma elections.** Its established regional networks, historical performance as the leading opposition party in 2021, and consistent polling support around 10–14% across multiple surveys position it well ahead of rivals despite some variation in recent VTsIOM and FOM data. New People has shown poll gains in certain state-affiliated surveys, occasionally reaching 12–13% and challenging for second, yet its newer organization and limited single-mandate district strength contribute to lower implied probabilities. LDPR remains competitive through nationalist positioning and comparable vote shares but trails in overall market pricing. Broader context includes United Russia’s expected first-place finish amid economic pressures and wartime conditions, limited space for genuine opposition, and parties’ ongoing candidate registration and primary preparations that reinforce the systemic hierarchy. These structural factors align with the current trader consensus reflected in the pricing.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডRussia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 83%
New People (NL) 8.3%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 7.6%
United Russia (ER) <1%
$313,744 Vol.
$313,744 Vol.

United Russia (ER)
1%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
83%

A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
<1%

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
8%

New People (NL)
8%

Rodina
<1%

Civic Platform (GP)
<1%

Yabloko
1%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 83%
New People (NL) 8.3%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 7.6%
United Russia (ER) <1%
$313,744 Vol.
$313,744 Vol.

United Russia (ER)
1%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
83%

A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
<1%

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
8%

New People (NL)
8%

Rodina
<1%

Civic Platform (GP)
<1%

Yabloko
1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Apr 21, 2026, 3:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**KPRF maintains a dominant position in trader assessments for second place behind United Russia in the September 2026 State Duma elections.** Its established regional networks, historical performance as the leading opposition party in 2021, and consistent polling support around 10–14% across multiple surveys position it well ahead of rivals despite some variation in recent VTsIOM and FOM data. New People has shown poll gains in certain state-affiliated surveys, occasionally reaching 12–13% and challenging for second, yet its newer organization and limited single-mandate district strength contribute to lower implied probabilities. LDPR remains competitive through nationalist positioning and comparable vote shares but trails in overall market pricing. Broader context includes United Russia’s expected first-place finish amid economic pressures and wartime conditions, limited space for genuine opposition, and parties’ ongoing candidate registration and primary preparations that reinforce the systemic hierarchy. These structural factors align with the current trader consensus reflected in the pricing.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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