Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Ciro Gomes at 63.5% implied probability to win the Ceará gubernatorial election on October 4, 2026, driven by consistent leads in recent polls like Datafolha (47% vs. incumbent Elmano de Freitas' 32% in March), Veritá (54% valid in late April), and Genial/Quaest (ahead of Elmano in April), where he dominates runoffs. His May 11 announcement confirming the PSDB candidacy over a presidential bid solidified frontrunner status, leveraging strong name recognition as former governor against the PT's reelection bid amid mixed PT matchups. Elmano trails at 22.5% despite incumbency, with Eduardo Girão at 7% reflecting right-wing fragmentation; Camilo Santana's decline shifted focus back to Elmano. Upcoming official launch on May 16 could further shape dynamics in this first-round contest.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডCeará Governor Election Winner
Ceará Governor Election Winner
Ciro Gomes 64%
Elmano de Freitas 22%
Camilo Santana 6.1%
Eduardo Girão 3.6%
$53,150 Vol.
$53,150 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Ciro Gomes
64%
Elmano de Freitas
22%
Camilo Santana
9%
Eduardo Girão
7%
Roberto Cláudio
2%
Capitão Wagner
<1%
Ciro Gomes 64%
Elmano de Freitas 22%
Camilo Santana 6.1%
Eduardo Girão 3.6%
$53,150 Vol.
$53,150 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Ciro Gomes
$35,966 Vol.
64%
Elmano de Freitas
$5,633 Vol.
22%
Camilo Santana
$2,887 Vol.
9%
Eduardo Girão
$3,074 Vol.
7%
Roberto Cláudio
$1,784 Vol.
2%
Capitão Wagner
$3,805 Vol.
<1%
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Ciro Gomes at 63.5% implied probability to win the Ceará gubernatorial election on October 4, 2026, driven by consistent leads in recent polls like Datafolha (47% vs. incumbent Elmano de Freitas' 32% in March), Veritá (54% valid in late April), and Genial/Quaest (ahead of Elmano in April), where he dominates runoffs. His May 11 announcement confirming the PSDB candidacy over a presidential bid solidified frontrunner status, leveraging strong name recognition as former governor against the PT's reelection bid amid mixed PT matchups. Elmano trails at 22.5% despite incumbency, with Eduardo Girão at 7% reflecting right-wing fragmentation; Camilo Santana's decline shifted focus back to Elmano. Upcoming official launch on May 16 could further shape dynamics in this first-round contest.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
ভলিউম
$53,150শেষ তারিখ
Oct 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Ciro Gomes at 63.5% implied probability to win the Ceará gubernatorial election on October 4, 2026, driven by consistent leads in recent polls like Datafolha (47% vs. incumbent Elmano de Freitas' 32% in March), Veritá (54% valid in late April), and Genial/Quaest (ahead of Elmano in April), where he dominates runoffs. His May 11 announcement confirming the PSDB candidacy over a presidential bid solidified frontrunner status, leveraging strong name recognition as former governor against the PT's reelection bid amid mixed PT matchups. Elmano trails at 22.5% despite incumbency, with Eduardo Girão at 7% reflecting right-wing fragmentation; Camilo Santana's decline shifted focus back to Elmano. Upcoming official launch on May 16 could further shape dynamics in this first-round contest.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ভলিউম
$53,150শেষ তারিখ
Oct 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Ciro Gomes at 63.5% implied probability to win the Ceará gubernatorial election on October 4, 2026, driven by consistent leads in recent polls like Datafolha (47% vs. incumbent Elmano de Freitas' 32% in March), Veritá (54% valid in late April), and Genial/Quaest (ahead of Elmano in April), where he dominates runoffs. His May 11 announcement confirming the PSDB candidacy over a presidential bid solidified frontrunner status, leveraging strong name recognition as former governor against the PT's reelection bid amid mixed PT matchups. Elmano trails at 22.5% despite incumbency, with Eduardo Girão at 7% reflecting right-wing fragmentation; Camilo Santana's decline shifted focus back to Elmano. Upcoming official launch on May 16 could further shape dynamics in this first-round contest.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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