Lucas Ribeiro (PP), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 following João Azevêdo’s resignation to run for the Senate, holds a commanding position in the October 4 first-round contest. Recent polls from Quaest, Real Time Big Data, and others show him leading with 38–43% support in simulated first-round scenarios, well ahead of Cícero Lucena (MDB) at 18–25% and Efraim Filho (PL) at 12–21%, with remaining candidates registering minimal shares. His advantage stems from incumbency resources, party alliances including PT backing, and consistent polling strength across multiple surveys conducted through early September. Ongoing campaign events such as neighborhood walks and sector-specific interviews continue for all contenders, while a legal challenge filed by Lucena alleging improper state hiring has yet to materially alter the competitive landscape reflected in trader pricing.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLucas Ribeiro 83%
Efraim Filho 10%
Cícero Lucena 6%
Nilvan Ferreira 1.2%
$62,653 Vol.
$62,653 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Lucas Ribeiro
83%
Efraim Filho
10%
Cícero Lucena
6%
Nilvan Ferreira
1%
Flávio Lúcio
1%
Veneziano Vital do Rêgo
1%
Romero Rodrigues
<1%
Marcelo Queiroga
<1%
Lucas Ribeiro 83%
Efraim Filho 10%
Cícero Lucena 6%
Nilvan Ferreira 1.2%
$62,653 Vol.
$62,653 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Lucas Ribeiro
$18,684 Vol.
83%
Efraim Filho
$14,308 Vol.
10%
Cícero Lucena
$20,569 Vol.
6%
Nilvan Ferreira
$894 Vol.
1%
Flávio Lúcio
$876 Vol.
1%
Veneziano Vital do Rêgo
$2,431 Vol.
1%
Romero Rodrigues
$1,511 Vol.
<1%
Marcelo Queiroga
$3,381 Vol.
<1%
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Lucas Ribeiro (PP), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 following João Azevêdo’s resignation to run for the Senate, holds a commanding position in the October 4 first-round contest. Recent polls from Quaest, Real Time Big Data, and others show him leading with 38–43% support in simulated first-round scenarios, well ahead of Cícero Lucena (MDB) at 18–25% and Efraim Filho (PL) at 12–21%, with remaining candidates registering minimal shares. His advantage stems from incumbency resources, party alliances including PT backing, and consistent polling strength across multiple surveys conducted through early September. Ongoing campaign events such as neighborhood walks and sector-specific interviews continue for all contenders, while a legal challenge filed by Lucena alleging improper state hiring has yet to materially alter the competitive landscape reflected in trader pricing.
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ET
ভলিউম
$62,653শেষ তারিখ
Oct 5, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Lucas Ribeiro (PP), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 following João Azevêdo’s resignation to run for the Senate, holds a commanding position in the October 4 first-round contest. Recent polls from Quaest, Real Time Big Data, and others show him leading with 38–43% support in simulated first-round scenarios, well ahead of Cícero Lucena (MDB) at 18–25% and Efraim Filho (PL) at 12–21%, with remaining candidates registering minimal shares. His advantage stems from incumbency resources, party alliances including PT backing, and consistent polling strength across multiple surveys conducted through early September. Ongoing campaign events such as neighborhood walks and sector-specific interviews continue for all contenders, while a legal challenge filed by Lucena alleging improper state hiring has yet to materially alter the competitive landscape reflected in trader pricing.
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ভলিউম
$62,653শেষ তারিখ
Oct 5, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Lucas Ribeiro (PP), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 following João Azevêdo’s resignation to run for the Senate, holds a commanding position in the October 4 first-round contest. Recent polls from Quaest, Real Time Big Data, and others show him leading with 38–43% support in simulated first-round scenarios, well ahead of Cícero Lucena (MDB) at 18–25% and Efraim Filho (PL) at 12–21%, with remaining candidates registering minimal shares. His advantage stems from incumbency resources, party alliances including PT backing, and consistent polling strength across multiple surveys conducted through early September. Ongoing campaign events such as neighborhood walks and sector-specific interviews continue for all contenders, while a legal challenge filed by Lucena alleging improper state hiring has yet to materially alter the competitive landscape reflected in trader pricing.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা