Recent Q2 2026 GDP growth of 0.5% QoQ, down from 1.1% in Q1, alongside cooling household consumption and high Selic rates near 13.75%, anchors trader focus on subdued Q3 momentum for Brazil's economy. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 0.0–0.5% bands, reflecting uncertainty over whether restrictive monetary policy and softer credit/labor trends will produce flat-to-modest expansion or a mild contraction. Recent Focus survey revisions lowered 2026 full-year growth expectations to 1.89% while inflation forecasts eased modestly, underscoring the data-dependent outlook ahead of the December IBGE release.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড0.0% to 0.2% 33%
0.3% to 0.5% 25.7%
-0.3% to -0.1% 18%
<-0.3% 8.0%
$12,697 Vol.
$12,697 Vol.
Dec 1, 2026
<-0.3%
14%
-0.3% to -0.1%
18%
0.0% to 0.2%
33%
0.3% to 0.5%
26%
0.6% to 0.8%
5%
0.9% to 1.1%
5%
≥1.2%
<1%
0.0% to 0.2% 33%
0.3% to 0.5% 25.7%
-0.3% to -0.1% 18%
<-0.3% 8.0%
$12,697 Vol.
$12,697 Vol.
Dec 1, 2026
<-0.3%
$225 Vol.
14%
-0.3% to -0.1%
$2,248 Vol.
18%
0.0% to 0.2%
$7,807 Vol.
33%
0.3% to 0.5%
$1,768 Vol.
26%
0.6% to 0.8%
$214 Vol.
5%
0.9% to 1.1%
$235 Vol.
5%
≥1.2%
$202 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to Brazil’s gross domestic product growth rate compared to the prior quarter (GDP at market prices, %) in the 3rd quarter of 2026, as reported by the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística’s (IBGE) System of Quarterly National Accounts release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on December 2, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior quarter. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior quarter to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.htmlRecent Q2 2026 GDP growth of 0.5% QoQ, down from 1.1% in Q1, alongside cooling household consumption and high Selic rates near 13.75%, anchors trader focus on subdued Q3 momentum for Brazil's economy. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 0.0–0.5% bands, reflecting uncertainty over whether restrictive monetary policy and softer credit/labor trends will produce flat-to-modest expansion or a mild contraction. Recent Focus survey revisions lowered 2026 full-year growth expectations to 1.89% while inflation forecasts eased modestly, underscoring the data-dependent outlook ahead of the December IBGE release.
This market will resolve according to Brazil’s gross domestic product growth rate compared to the prior quarter (GDP at market prices, %) in the 3rd quarter of 2026, as reported by the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística’s (IBGE) System of Quarterly National Accounts release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on December 2, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior quarter. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior quarter to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior quarter. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior quarter to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 8, 2026, 7:35 PM ET
ভলিউম
$12,697শেষ তারিখ
Dec 2, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 8, 2026, 7:35 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Brazil’s gross domestic product growth rate compared to the prior quarter (GDP at market prices, %) in the 3rd quarter of 2026, as reported by the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística’s (IBGE) System of Quarterly National Accounts release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on December 2, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior quarter. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior quarter to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.htmlRecent Q2 2026 GDP growth of 0.5% QoQ, down from 1.1% in Q1, alongside cooling household consumption and high Selic rates near 13.75%, anchors trader focus on subdued Q3 momentum for Brazil's economy. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 0.0–0.5% bands, reflecting uncertainty over whether restrictive monetary policy and softer credit/labor trends will produce flat-to-modest expansion or a mild contraction. Recent Focus survey revisions lowered 2026 full-year growth expectations to 1.89% while inflation forecasts eased modestly, underscoring the data-dependent outlook ahead of the December IBGE release.
This market will resolve according to Brazil’s gross domestic product growth rate compared to the prior quarter (GDP at market prices, %) in the 3rd quarter of 2026, as reported by the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística’s (IBGE) System of Quarterly National Accounts release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on December 2, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior quarter. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior quarter to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior quarter. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior quarter to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
ভলিউম
$12,697শেষ তারিখ
Dec 2, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 8, 2026, 7:35 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Recent Q2 2026 GDP growth of 0.5% QoQ, down from 1.1% in Q1, alongside cooling household consumption and high Selic rates near 13.75%, anchors trader focus on subdued Q3 momentum for Brazil's economy. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 0.0–0.5% bands, reflecting uncertainty over whether restrictive monetary policy and softer credit/labor trends will produce flat-to-modest expansion or a mild contraction. Recent Focus survey revisions lowered 2026 full-year growth expectations to 1.89% while inflation forecasts eased modestly, underscoring the data-dependent outlook ahead of the December IBGE release.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা