China's official 2026 GDP growth target of 4.5–5.0 percent, set during the annual parliamentary session, aligns closely with the leading 4.0–5.0 percent outcome priced at 72.5 percent. First-quarter 2026 data showed 5.0 percent year-on-year expansion driven by industrial output and export surges, yet retail sales remained subdued and the property sector continued to weigh on domestic demand. Consensus forecasts from the IMF and World Bank hover near 4.4–4.5 percent, reflecting persistent structural headwinds such as high debt levels, weak consumer confidence, and elevated input costs tied to geopolitical tensions. Recent fiscal measures and export resilience support the market's heavy weighting toward the 4.0–5.0 percent band, while higher ranges above 5.0 percent would require stronger-than-expected stimulus or global demand recovery.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড4.0–5.0% 73%
5.0–6.0% 25.3%
6.0-7.0% 2.6%
3.0–4.0% 1.5%
$527,845 Vol.
$527,845 Vol.
Jan 31, 2026
<1.0%
<1%
1.0–2.0%
<1%
2.0–3.0%
<1%
3.0–4.0%
2%
4.0–5.0%
73%
5.0–6.0%
25%
6.0-7.0%
3%
7.0–8.0%
<1%
8.0–9.0%
<1%
9.0%+
<1%
4.0–5.0% 73%
5.0–6.0% 25.3%
6.0-7.0% 2.6%
3.0–4.0% 1.5%
$527,845 Vol.
$527,845 Vol.
Jan 31, 2026
<1.0%
$41,430 Vol.
<1%
1.0–2.0%
$40,608 Vol.
<1%
2.0–3.0%
$21,014 Vol.
<1%
3.0–4.0%
$43,445 Vol.
2%
4.0–5.0%
$135,981 Vol.
73%
5.0–6.0%
$49,129 Vol.
25%
6.0-7.0%
$48,008 Vol.
3%
7.0–8.0%
$44,478 Vol.
<1%
8.0–9.0%
$20,196 Vol.
<1%
9.0%+
$83,556 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.China's official 2026 GDP growth target of 4.5–5.0 percent, set during the annual parliamentary session, aligns closely with the leading 4.0–5.0 percent outcome priced at 72.5 percent. First-quarter 2026 data showed 5.0 percent year-on-year expansion driven by industrial output and export surges, yet retail sales remained subdued and the property sector continued to weigh on domestic demand. Consensus forecasts from the IMF and World Bank hover near 4.4–4.5 percent, reflecting persistent structural headwinds such as high debt levels, weak consumer confidence, and elevated input costs tied to geopolitical tensions. Recent fiscal measures and export resilience support the market's heavy weighting toward the 4.0–5.0 percent band, while higher ranges above 5.0 percent would require stronger-than-expected stimulus or global demand recovery.
This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 21, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
ভলিউম
$527,845শেষ তারিখ
Jan 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 21, 2026, 6:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.China's official 2026 GDP growth target of 4.5–5.0 percent, set during the annual parliamentary session, aligns closely with the leading 4.0–5.0 percent outcome priced at 72.5 percent. First-quarter 2026 data showed 5.0 percent year-on-year expansion driven by industrial output and export surges, yet retail sales remained subdued and the property sector continued to weigh on domestic demand. Consensus forecasts from the IMF and World Bank hover near 4.4–4.5 percent, reflecting persistent structural headwinds such as high debt levels, weak consumer confidence, and elevated input costs tied to geopolitical tensions. Recent fiscal measures and export resilience support the market's heavy weighting toward the 4.0–5.0 percent band, while higher ranges above 5.0 percent would require stronger-than-expected stimulus or global demand recovery.
This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$527,845শেষ তারিখ
Jan 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 21, 2026, 6:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...China's official 2026 GDP growth target of 4.5–5.0 percent, set during the annual parliamentary session, aligns closely with the leading 4.0–5.0 percent outcome priced at 72.5 percent. First-quarter 2026 data showed 5.0 percent year-on-year expansion driven by industrial output and export surges, yet retail sales remained subdued and the property sector continued to weigh on domestic demand. Consensus forecasts from the IMF and World Bank hover near 4.4–4.5 percent, reflecting persistent structural headwinds such as high debt levels, weak consumer confidence, and elevated input costs tied to geopolitical tensions. Recent fiscal measures and export resilience support the market's heavy weighting toward the 4.0–5.0 percent band, while higher ranges above 5.0 percent would require stronger-than-expected stimulus or global demand recovery.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা