Strong Atlanta Fed GDPNow estimates, recently holding at 5.1% for Q3 2026, underpin the market-implied 50.5% probability of growth at or above 3.0%, reflecting upward revisions to personal consumption expenditures and government spending amid resilient consumer outlays and AI-driven business investment. Q2 growth came in at 1.5%, but recent data including solid August payroll gains and steady labor market conditions have supported momentum, with private forecasts from sources like TD Economics tracking near 2.8%. Sticky inflation and potential net export drags introduce some downside risks, while the next GDPNow update and BEA advance estimate later this quarter represent key near-term catalysts that could shift trader consensus.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড≥3.0% 51%
2.0–2.5% 20%
2.5–3.0% 16%
1.5–2.0% 8%
$28,112 Vol.
$28,112 Vol.
Oct 29, 2026
<0.5%
3%
0.5–1.0%
4%
1.0–1.5%
5%
1.5–2.0%
8%
2.0–2.5%
20%
2.5–3.0%
16%
≥3.0%
51%
≥3.0% 51%
2.0–2.5% 20%
2.5–3.0% 16%
1.5–2.0% 8%
$28,112 Vol.
$28,112 Vol.
Oct 29, 2026
<0.5%
$911 Vol.
3%
0.5–1.0%
$559 Vol.
4%
1.0–1.5%
$660 Vol.
5%
1.5–2.0%
$718 Vol.
8%
2.0–2.5%
$1,950 Vol.
20%
2.5–3.0%
$3,461 Vol.
16%
≥3.0%
$19,852 Vol.
51%
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 29, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.Strong Atlanta Fed GDPNow estimates, recently holding at 5.1% for Q3 2026, underpin the market-implied 50.5% probability of growth at or above 3.0%, reflecting upward revisions to personal consumption expenditures and government spending amid resilient consumer outlays and AI-driven business investment. Q2 growth came in at 1.5%, but recent data including solid August payroll gains and steady labor market conditions have supported momentum, with private forecasts from sources like TD Economics tracking near 2.8%. Sticky inflation and potential net export drags introduce some downside risks, while the next GDPNow update and BEA advance estimate later this quarter represent key near-term catalysts that could shift trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 29, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 31, 2026, 5:38 PM ET
ভলিউম
$28,112শেষ তারিখ
Oct 29, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 31, 2026, 5:38 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 29, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.Strong Atlanta Fed GDPNow estimates, recently holding at 5.1% for Q3 2026, underpin the market-implied 50.5% probability of growth at or above 3.0%, reflecting upward revisions to personal consumption expenditures and government spending amid resilient consumer outlays and AI-driven business investment. Q2 growth came in at 1.5%, but recent data including solid August payroll gains and steady labor market conditions have supported momentum, with private forecasts from sources like TD Economics tracking near 2.8%. Sticky inflation and potential net export drags introduce some downside risks, while the next GDPNow update and BEA advance estimate later this quarter represent key near-term catalysts that could shift trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 29, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.
ভলিউম
$28,112শেষ তারিখ
Oct 29, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 31, 2026, 5:38 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Strong Atlanta Fed GDPNow estimates, recently holding at 5.1% for Q3 2026, underpin the market-implied 50.5% probability of growth at or above 3.0%, reflecting upward revisions to personal consumption expenditures and government spending amid resilient consumer outlays and AI-driven business investment. Q2 growth came in at 1.5%, but recent data including solid August payroll gains and steady labor market conditions have supported momentum, with private forecasts from sources like TD Economics tracking near 2.8%. Sticky inflation and potential net export drags introduce some downside risks, while the next GDPNow update and BEA advance estimate later this quarter represent key near-term catalysts that could shift trader consensus.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা