Recent Q2 2026 GDP growth of 1.5 percent annualized, following a 2.1 percent Q1 pace, combined with a cooling labor market at 4.1 percent unemployment in July, anchors trader sentiment around the 1.5–2.5 percent band for full-year 2026 expansion. Market-implied odds show these two central buckets nearly tied at 33.3 percent and 32.5 percent, reflecting uncertainty over whether consumer spending and investment will sustain momentum amid moderating inflation or face further drag from softer payroll trends and fiscal dynamics. Key upcoming data releases on inflation, employment, and any Federal Reserve communications will likely sharpen differentiation between the closely contested outcomes.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডGDP growth in 2026
GDP growth in 2026
1.5–2.0% 34.2%
2.0–2.5% 32%
>2.5% 19%
1.0–1.5% 8.9%
$58,052 Vol.
$58,052 Vol.
Jan 29, 2027
<0.5%
8%
0.5–1.0%
3%
1.0–1.5%
9%
1.5–2.0%
34%
2.0–2.5%
32%
>2.5%
19%
1.5–2.0% 34.2%
2.0–2.5% 32%
>2.5% 19%
1.0–1.5% 8.9%
$58,052 Vol.
$58,052 Vol.
Jan 29, 2027
<0.5%
$7,439 Vol.
8%
0.5–1.0%
$17,161 Vol.
3%
1.0–1.5%
$3,814 Vol.
9%
1.5–2.0%
$6,622 Vol.
34%
2.0–2.5%
$7,085 Vol.
32%
>2.5%
$15,931 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2026, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2026, estimated to be released in January 2027.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Q2 2026 GDP growth of 1.5 percent annualized, following a 2.1 percent Q1 pace, combined with a cooling labor market at 4.1 percent unemployment in July, anchors trader sentiment around the 1.5–2.5 percent band for full-year 2026 expansion. Market-implied odds show these two central buckets nearly tied at 33.3 percent and 32.5 percent, reflecting uncertainty over whether consumer spending and investment will sustain momentum amid moderating inflation or face further drag from softer payroll trends and fiscal dynamics. Key upcoming data releases on inflation, employment, and any Federal Reserve communications will likely sharpen differentiation between the closely contested outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2026, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2026, estimated to be released in January 2027.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Nov 12, 2025, 6:17 PM ET
ভলিউম
$58,052শেষ তারিখ
Jan 29, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 12, 2025, 6:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2026, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2026, estimated to be released in January 2027.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Q2 2026 GDP growth of 1.5 percent annualized, following a 2.1 percent Q1 pace, combined with a cooling labor market at 4.1 percent unemployment in July, anchors trader sentiment around the 1.5–2.5 percent band for full-year 2026 expansion. Market-implied odds show these two central buckets nearly tied at 33.3 percent and 32.5 percent, reflecting uncertainty over whether consumer spending and investment will sustain momentum amid moderating inflation or face further drag from softer payroll trends and fiscal dynamics. Key upcoming data releases on inflation, employment, and any Federal Reserve communications will likely sharpen differentiation between the closely contested outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2026, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2026, estimated to be released in January 2027.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$58,052শেষ তারিখ
Jan 29, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 12, 2025, 6:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent Q2 2026 GDP growth of 1.5 percent annualized, following a 2.1 percent Q1 pace, combined with a cooling labor market at 4.1 percent unemployment in July, anchors trader sentiment around the 1.5–2.5 percent band for full-year 2026 expansion. Market-implied odds show these two central buckets nearly tied at 33.3 percent and 32.5 percent, reflecting uncertainty over whether consumer spending and investment will sustain momentum amid moderating inflation or face further drag from softer payroll trends and fiscal dynamics. Key upcoming data releases on inflation, employment, and any Federal Reserve communications will likely sharpen differentiation between the closely contested outcomes.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা