Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 62.5% implied probability against a Federal Reserve rate hike in 2026, reflecting the Fed's steady 3.50%-3.75% federal funds target range affirmed at the April 29 FOMC meeting amid balanced risks. April CPI surged to 3.8% year-over-year—up from 3.3% in March and the highest since May 2023—alongside modest 115,000 nonfarm payroll gains and a stable 4.3% unemployment rate, prompting brokerages like BofA to forecast no policy shifts through year-end due to sticky inflation and energy pressures from geopolitical tensions. The March dot plot median projected a slight 3.4% funds rate by December 2026, anchoring no-hike sentiment. Key catalysts include upcoming May CPI data and the June FOMC meeting, where hotter prints could elevate hike odds further.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডহ্যাঁ
$1,092,409 Vol.
$1,092,409 Vol.
Dec 9, 2026
হ্যাঁ
$1,092,409 Vol.
$1,092,409 Vol.
Dec 9, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 62.5% implied probability against a Federal Reserve rate hike in 2026, reflecting the Fed's steady 3.50%-3.75% federal funds target range affirmed at the April 29 FOMC meeting amid balanced risks. April CPI surged to 3.8% year-over-year—up from 3.3% in March and the highest since May 2023—alongside modest 115,000 nonfarm payroll gains and a stable 4.3% unemployment rate, prompting brokerages like BofA to forecast no policy shifts through year-end due to sticky inflation and energy pressures from geopolitical tensions. The March dot plot median projected a slight 3.4% funds rate by December 2026, anchoring no-hike sentiment. Key catalysts include upcoming May CPI data and the June FOMC meeting, where hotter prints could elevate hike odds further.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ET
ভলিউম
$1,092,409শেষ তারিখ
Dec 9, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 62.5% implied probability against a Federal Reserve rate hike in 2026, reflecting the Fed's steady 3.50%-3.75% federal funds target range affirmed at the April 29 FOMC meeting amid balanced risks. April CPI surged to 3.8% year-over-year—up from 3.3% in March and the highest since May 2023—alongside modest 115,000 nonfarm payroll gains and a stable 4.3% unemployment rate, prompting brokerages like BofA to forecast no policy shifts through year-end due to sticky inflation and energy pressures from geopolitical tensions. The March dot plot median projected a slight 3.4% funds rate by December 2026, anchoring no-hike sentiment. Key catalysts include upcoming May CPI data and the June FOMC meeting, where hotter prints could elevate hike odds further.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$1,092,409শেষ তারিখ
Dec 9, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 62.5% implied probability against a Federal Reserve rate hike in 2026, reflecting the Fed's steady 3.50%-3.75% federal funds target range affirmed at the April 29 FOMC meeting amid balanced risks. April CPI surged to 3.8% year-over-year—up from 3.3% in March and the highest since May 2023—alongside modest 115,000 nonfarm payroll gains and a stable 4.3% unemployment rate, prompting brokerages like BofA to forecast no policy shifts through year-end due to sticky inflation and energy pressures from geopolitical tensions. The March dot plot median projected a slight 3.4% funds rate by December 2026, anchoring no-hike sentiment. Key catalysts include upcoming May CPI data and the June FOMC meeting, where hotter prints could elevate hike odds further.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা