Jerome Powell's term as Federal Reserve Chair expires May 15, driving trader consensus to price a 96.5% implied probability of his departure in the May 15–22 window, reinforced by today's Senate confirmation of Kevin Warsh as his successor, who takes over after Powell's planned step-aside. Powell confirmed in late April he will relinquish the chairmanship at term end while remaining on the Board of Governors until at least 2028 amid ongoing legal challenges from the Trump administration. This reflects historical norms where chairs transition promptly post-term without reappointment, with Warsh's first FOMC meeting slated for June 16–17. Barring delays in Warsh's swearing-in, procedural holds, or unforeseen legal interventions, the handover aligns with the dominant market positioning.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডWhen will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?
When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?
May 15–22 96.6%
May 23–29 <1%
May 30–June 5 <1%
Before May 15 <1%
$96,822 Vol.
$96,822 Vol.
Jul 3, 2026
Before May 15
1%
May 15–22
97%
May 23–29
1%
May 30–June 5
1%
June 6–12
1%
June 13–19
1%
June 20–26
<1%
June 27–July 3
<1%
After July 3
1%
May 15–22 96.6%
May 23–29 <1%
May 30–June 5 <1%
Before May 15 <1%
$96,822 Vol.
$96,822 Vol.
Jul 3, 2026
Before May 15
$25,770 Vol.
1%
May 15–22
$30,979 Vol.
97%
May 23–29
$5,606 Vol.
1%
May 30–June 5
$3,872 Vol.
1%
June 6–12
$5,279 Vol.
1%
June 13–19
$4,690 Vol.
1%
June 20–26
$9,622 Vol.
<1%
June 27–July 3
$3,216 Vol.
<1%
After July 3
$7,788 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jerome Powell's term as Federal Reserve Chair expires May 15, driving trader consensus to price a 96.5% implied probability of his departure in the May 15–22 window, reinforced by today's Senate confirmation of Kevin Warsh as his successor, who takes over after Powell's planned step-aside. Powell confirmed in late April he will relinquish the chairmanship at term end while remaining on the Board of Governors until at least 2028 amid ongoing legal challenges from the Trump administration. This reflects historical norms where chairs transition promptly post-term without reappointment, with Warsh's first FOMC meeting slated for June 16–17. Barring delays in Warsh's swearing-in, procedural holds, or unforeseen legal interventions, the handover aligns with the dominant market positioning.
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ET
ভলিউম
$96,822শেষ তারিখ
Jul 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jerome Powell's term as Federal Reserve Chair expires May 15, driving trader consensus to price a 96.5% implied probability of his departure in the May 15–22 window, reinforced by today's Senate confirmation of Kevin Warsh as his successor, who takes over after Powell's planned step-aside. Powell confirmed in late April he will relinquish the chairmanship at term end while remaining on the Board of Governors until at least 2028 amid ongoing legal challenges from the Trump administration. This reflects historical norms where chairs transition promptly post-term without reappointment, with Warsh's first FOMC meeting slated for June 16–17. Barring delays in Warsh's swearing-in, procedural holds, or unforeseen legal interventions, the handover aligns with the dominant market positioning.
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$96,822শেষ তারিখ
Jul 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Jerome Powell's term as Federal Reserve Chair expires May 15, driving trader consensus to price a 96.5% implied probability of his departure in the May 15–22 window, reinforced by today's Senate confirmation of Kevin Warsh as his successor, who takes over after Powell's planned step-aside. Powell confirmed in late April he will relinquish the chairmanship at term end while remaining on the Board of Governors until at least 2028 amid ongoing legal challenges from the Trump administration. This reflects historical norms where chairs transition promptly post-term without reappointment, with Warsh's first FOMC meeting slated for June 16–17. Barring delays in Warsh's swearing-in, procedural holds, or unforeseen legal interventions, the handover aligns with the dominant market positioning.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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