The Federal Reserve’s September 2026 FOMC meeting and updated Summary of Economic Projections have anchored trader expectations for the federal funds rate at year-end. Policymakers raised the target range to 3.75-4.00 percent and shifted the median dot-plot projection for end-2026 to 4.1 percent, reflecting one additional 25-basis-point increase. Elevated PCE inflation projections of 3.7 percent, resilient GDP growth near 2.3 percent, and a stable unemployment rate around 4.1 percent support the view that further tightening is needed to address upside inflation risks no longer viewed as purely transitory. Markets assign the highest probability to a 4.25 percent terminal rate, with a sizable share also pricing the possibility of 4.5 percent or higher if additional hikes materialize before December. Lower-rate outcomes remain discounted absent clear evidence of cooling price pressures or labor-market softening.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড৪.২৫% 53.7%
≥ ৪.৫% 32.0%
৪.০% 9.3%
৩.৫% 1.6%
$6,887,781 Vol.
$6,887,781 Vol.
Dec 8, 2026
≤১.০%
<1%
১.২৫
<1%
১.৫%
<1%
১.৭৫%
<1%
২.০%
<1%
২.২৫%
<1%
২.৫%
<1%
২.৭৫%
<1%
৩.০%
<1%
৩.২৫%
<1%
৩.৫%
2%
৩.৭৫%
1%
৪.০%
9%
৪.২৫%
54%
≥ ৪.৫%
32%
৪.২৫% 53.7%
≥ ৪.৫% 32.0%
৪.০% 9.3%
৩.৫% 1.6%
$6,887,781 Vol.
$6,887,781 Vol.
Dec 8, 2026
≤১.০%
$257,315 Vol.
<1%
১.২৫
$153,610 Vol.
<1%
১.৫%
$151,402 Vol.
<1%
১.৭৫%
$153,753 Vol.
<1%
২.০%
$269,358 Vol.
<1%
২.২৫%
$93,177 Vol.
<1%
২.৫%
$179,901 Vol.
<1%
২.৭৫%
$70,018 Vol.
<1%
৩.০%
$500,125 Vol.
<1%
৩.২৫%
$85,371 Vol.
<1%
৩.৫%
$206,113 Vol.
2%
৩.৭৫%
$538,454 Vol.
1%
৪.০%
$1,373,602 Vol.
9%
৪.২৫%
$441,362 Vol.
54%
≥ ৪.৫%
$2,414,221 Vol.
32%
The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026.
This market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time.
The upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).The Federal Reserve’s September 2026 FOMC meeting and updated Summary of Economic Projections have anchored trader expectations for the federal funds rate at year-end. Policymakers raised the target range to 3.75-4.00 percent and shifted the median dot-plot projection for end-2026 to 4.1 percent, reflecting one additional 25-basis-point increase. Elevated PCE inflation projections of 3.7 percent, resilient GDP growth near 2.3 percent, and a stable unemployment rate around 4.1 percent support the view that further tightening is needed to address upside inflation risks no longer viewed as purely transitory. Markets assign the highest probability to a 4.25 percent terminal rate, with a sizable share also pricing the possibility of 4.5 percent or higher if additional hikes materialize before December. Lower-rate outcomes remain discounted absent clear evidence of cooling price pressures or labor-market softening.
The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026.
This market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time.
The upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).
This market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026.
This market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time.
The upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 12, 2026, 12:43 PM ET
ভলিউম
$6,887,781শেষ তারিখ
Dec 9, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 12, 2026, 12:43 PM ETরেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026.
This market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time.
The upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).The Federal Reserve’s September 2026 FOMC meeting and updated Summary of Economic Projections have anchored trader expectations for the federal funds rate at year-end. Policymakers raised the target range to 3.75-4.00 percent and shifted the median dot-plot projection for end-2026 to 4.1 percent, reflecting one additional 25-basis-point increase. Elevated PCE inflation projections of 3.7 percent, resilient GDP growth near 2.3 percent, and a stable unemployment rate around 4.1 percent support the view that further tightening is needed to address upside inflation risks no longer viewed as purely transitory. Markets assign the highest probability to a 4.25 percent terminal rate, with a sizable share also pricing the possibility of 4.5 percent or higher if additional hikes materialize before December. Lower-rate outcomes remain discounted absent clear evidence of cooling price pressures or labor-market softening.
The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026.
This market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time.
The upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).
This market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026.
This market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time.
The upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).
ভলিউম
$6,887,781শেষ তারিখ
Dec 9, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 12, 2026, 12:43 PM ETরেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...The Federal Reserve’s September 2026 FOMC meeting and updated Summary of Economic Projections have anchored trader expectations for the federal funds rate at year-end. Policymakers raised the target range to 3.75-4.00 percent and shifted the median dot-plot projection for end-2026 to 4.1 percent, reflecting one additional 25-basis-point increase. Elevated PCE inflation projections of 3.7 percent, resilient GDP growth near 2.3 percent, and a stable unemployment rate around 4.1 percent support the view that further tightening is needed to address upside inflation risks no longer viewed as purely transitory. Markets assign the highest probability to a 4.25 percent terminal rate, with a sizable share also pricing the possibility of 4.5 percent or higher if additional hikes materialize before December. Lower-rate outcomes remain discounted absent clear evidence of cooling price pressures or labor-market softening.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা