**Recent FOMC projections and the September 16 rate decision anchor trader expectations for the federal funds rate at the end of 2026.** The committee raised the target range by 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00 percent and revised its median year-end 2026 forecast upward to 4.1 percent from 3.8 percent in June, with most participants seeing one additional hike this year. Updated Summary of Economic Projections also lifted near-term PCE inflation estimates while showing modestly stronger growth and a lower unemployment path. These shifts reflect persistent price pressures that have kept policymakers focused on returning inflation to target, supporting market pricing clustered around 4.00–4.25 percent. With only a few months remaining until year-end, the distribution of outcomes in the Polymarket reflects the current policy path and the limited scope for further near-term adjustments absent major data surprises.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড৪.২৫% 48.7%
৪.০% 24.8%
≥ ৪.৫% 17.5%
৩.৭৫% 5.7%
$6,876,260 Vol.
$6,876,260 Vol.
Dec 8, 2026
≤১.০%
<1%
১.২৫
<1%
১.৫%
<1%
১.৭৫%
<1%
২.০%
<1%
২.২৫%
<1%
২.৫%
<1%
২.৭৫%
<1%
৩.০%
<1%
৩.২৫%
<1%
৩.৫%
2%
৩.৭৫%
6%
৪.০%
25%
৪.২৫%
49%
≥ ৪.৫%
18%
৪.২৫% 48.7%
৪.০% 24.8%
≥ ৪.৫% 17.5%
৩.৭৫% 5.7%
$6,876,260 Vol.
$6,876,260 Vol.
Dec 8, 2026
≤১.০%
$256,686 Vol.
<1%
১.২৫
$151,157 Vol.
<1%
১.৫%
$151,097 Vol.
<1%
১.৭৫%
$153,420 Vol.
<1%
২.০%
$269,018 Vol.
<1%
২.২৫%
$92,616 Vol.
<1%
২.৫%
$179,597 Vol.
<1%
২.৭৫%
$69,764 Vol.
<1%
৩.০%
$499,690 Vol.
<1%
৩.২৫%
$85,113 Vol.
<1%
৩.৫%
$205,675 Vol.
2%
৩.৭৫%
$536,520 Vol.
6%
৪.০%
$1,373,340 Vol.
25%
৪.২৫%
$439,872 Vol.
49%
≥ ৪.৫%
$2,412,695 Vol.
18%
The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026.
This market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time.
The upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).**Recent FOMC projections and the September 16 rate decision anchor trader expectations for the federal funds rate at the end of 2026.**
The committee raised the target range by 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00 percent and revised its median year-end 2026 forecast upward to 4.1 percent from 3.8 percent in June, with most participants seeing one additional hike this year. Updated Summary of Economic Projections also lifted near-term PCE inflation estimates while showing modestly stronger growth and a lower unemployment path. These shifts reflect persistent price pressures that have kept policymakers focused on returning inflation to target, supporting market pricing clustered around 4.00–4.25 percent. With only a few months remaining until year-end, the distribution of outcomes in the Polymarket reflects the current policy path and the limited scope for further near-term adjustments absent major data surprises.
The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026.
This market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time.
The upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).
This market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026.
This market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time.
The upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 12, 2026, 12:43 PM ET
ভলিউম
$6,876,260শেষ তারিখ
Dec 9, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 12, 2026, 12:43 PM ETরেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026.
This market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time.
The upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).**Recent FOMC projections and the September 16 rate decision anchor trader expectations for the federal funds rate at the end of 2026.**
The committee raised the target range by 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00 percent and revised its median year-end 2026 forecast upward to 4.1 percent from 3.8 percent in June, with most participants seeing one additional hike this year. Updated Summary of Economic Projections also lifted near-term PCE inflation estimates while showing modestly stronger growth and a lower unemployment path. These shifts reflect persistent price pressures that have kept policymakers focused on returning inflation to target, supporting market pricing clustered around 4.00–4.25 percent. With only a few months remaining until year-end, the distribution of outcomes in the Polymarket reflects the current policy path and the limited scope for further near-term adjustments absent major data surprises.
The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026.
This market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time.
The upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).
This market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026.
This market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time.
The upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).
ভলিউম
$6,876,260শেষ তারিখ
Dec 9, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 12, 2026, 12:43 PM ETরেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...**Recent FOMC projections and the September 16 rate decision anchor trader expectations for the federal funds rate at the end of 2026.** The committee raised the target range by 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00 percent and revised its median year-end 2026 forecast upward to 4.1 percent from 3.8 percent in June, with most participants seeing one additional hike this year. Updated Summary of Economic Projections also lifted near-term PCE inflation estimates while showing modestly stronger growth and a lower unemployment path. These shifts reflect persistent price pressures that have kept policymakers focused on returning inflation to target, supporting market pricing clustered around 4.00–4.25 percent. With only a few months remaining until year-end, the distribution of outcomes in the Polymarket reflects the current policy path and the limited scope for further near-term adjustments absent major data surprises.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা