Recent Federal Reserve communications under Chair Kevin Warsh and persistent inflation readings near 3.3% core PCE have anchored the federal funds rate at 3.50-3.75%, with futures now pricing a possible December hike and reduced odds of easing through year-end. This policy backdrop, combined with solid labor market data and elevated oil prices, has lifted the 10-year Treasury yield to approximately 4.68% as of mid-August 2026, up roughly 40 basis points over the past month. Traders monitoring the lowest print before 2027 will focus on September and December FOMC meetings plus upcoming CPI and employment releases, as any durable softening in inflation or growth slowdown could reopen room for lower yields while continued supply pressures and hawkish guidance would likely cap downside.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড$225,059 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
3.9%
11%
3.8%
5%
3.7%
3%
3.6%
6%
3.5%
1%
3.0%
3%
2.0%
2%
1.0%
2%
$225,059 Vol.
3.9%
$44,197 Vol.
11%
3.8%
$41,312 Vol.
5%
3.7%
$27,333 Vol.
3%
3.6%
$5,537 Vol.
6%
3.5%
$32,936 Vol.
1%
3.0%
$901 Vol.
3%
2.0%
$514 Vol.
2%
1.0%
$40,570 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).Recent Federal Reserve communications under Chair Kevin Warsh and persistent inflation readings near 3.3% core PCE have anchored the federal funds rate at 3.50-3.75%, with futures now pricing a possible December hike and reduced odds of easing through year-end. This policy backdrop, combined with solid labor market data and elevated oil prices, has lifted the 10-year Treasury yield to approximately 4.68% as of mid-August 2026, up roughly 40 basis points over the past month. Traders monitoring the lowest print before 2027 will focus on September and December FOMC meetings plus upcoming CPI and employment releases, as any durable softening in inflation or growth slowdown could reopen room for lower yields while continued supply pressures and hawkish guidance would likely cap downside.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ET
ভলিউম
$225,059শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).Recent Federal Reserve communications under Chair Kevin Warsh and persistent inflation readings near 3.3% core PCE have anchored the federal funds rate at 3.50-3.75%, with futures now pricing a possible December hike and reduced odds of easing through year-end. This policy backdrop, combined with solid labor market data and elevated oil prices, has lifted the 10-year Treasury yield to approximately 4.68% as of mid-August 2026, up roughly 40 basis points over the past month. Traders monitoring the lowest print before 2027 will focus on September and December FOMC meetings plus upcoming CPI and employment releases, as any durable softening in inflation or growth slowdown could reopen room for lower yields while continued supply pressures and hawkish guidance would likely cap downside.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
ভলিউম
$225,059শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent Federal Reserve communications under Chair Kevin Warsh and persistent inflation readings near 3.3% core PCE have anchored the federal funds rate at 3.50-3.75%, with futures now pricing a possible December hike and reduced odds of easing through year-end. This policy backdrop, combined with solid labor market data and elevated oil prices, has lifted the 10-year Treasury yield to approximately 4.68% as of mid-August 2026, up roughly 40 basis points over the past month. Traders monitoring the lowest print before 2027 will focus on September and December FOMC meetings plus upcoming CPI and employment releases, as any durable softening in inflation or growth slowdown could reopen room for lower yields while continued supply pressures and hawkish guidance would likely cap downside.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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