Recent inflation readings, elevated by energy price spikes tied to geopolitical tensions, have shifted market-implied odds toward a possible 25-basis-point federal funds rate hike at the September 15–16 FOMC meeting, with CME FedWatch currently showing roughly even chances of action versus another hold at the prevailing 3.50–3.75% target range. The July 29 decision to pause drew three dissents favoring an immediate increase, underscoring internal divisions under Chair Kevin Warsh, while the June dot plot already reflected nine participants projecting at least one 2026 hike. Traders are now focusing on the next CPI release and labor data for signals on whether price pressures will persist or moderate enough to keep policy on hold through year-end.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডFed rate hike by...?
Fed rate hike by...?
$2,196,390 Vol.
Dec 9, 2026
September Meeting
31%
October Meeting
46%
$2,196,390 Vol.
September Meeting
$806,115 Vol.
31%
October Meeting
$430,275 Vol.
46%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent inflation readings, elevated by energy price spikes tied to geopolitical tensions, have shifted market-implied odds toward a possible 25-basis-point federal funds rate hike at the September 15–16 FOMC meeting, with CME FedWatch currently showing roughly even chances of action versus another hold at the prevailing 3.50–3.75% target range. The July 29 decision to pause drew three dissents favoring an immediate increase, underscoring internal divisions under Chair Kevin Warsh, while the June dot plot already reflected nine participants projecting at least one 2026 hike. Traders are now focusing on the next CPI release and labor data for signals on whether price pressures will persist or moderate enough to keep policy on hold through year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
ভলিউম
$2,196,390শেষ তারিখ
Oct 29, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent inflation readings, elevated by energy price spikes tied to geopolitical tensions, have shifted market-implied odds toward a possible 25-basis-point federal funds rate hike at the September 15–16 FOMC meeting, with CME FedWatch currently showing roughly even chances of action versus another hold at the prevailing 3.50–3.75% target range. The July 29 decision to pause drew three dissents favoring an immediate increase, underscoring internal divisions under Chair Kevin Warsh, while the June dot plot already reflected nine participants projecting at least one 2026 hike. Traders are now focusing on the next CPI release and labor data for signals on whether price pressures will persist or moderate enough to keep policy on hold through year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$2,196,390শেষ তারিখ
Oct 29, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent inflation readings, elevated by energy price spikes tied to geopolitical tensions, have shifted market-implied odds toward a possible 25-basis-point federal funds rate hike at the September 15–16 FOMC meeting, with CME FedWatch currently showing roughly even chances of action versus another hold at the prevailing 3.50–3.75% target range. The July 29 decision to pause drew three dissents favoring an immediate increase, underscoring internal divisions under Chair Kevin Warsh, while the June dot plot already reflected nine participants projecting at least one 2026 hike. Traders are now focusing on the next CPI release and labor data for signals on whether price pressures will persist or moderate enough to keep policy on hold through year-end.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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