The Federal Reserve has held its federal funds target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% since early 2026, as affirmed in the April 28-29 FOMC statement amid cooling but persistent inflation pressures. April 2026 CPI accelerated to 3.8% year-over-year—the highest since May 2023—following a 0.6% monthly rise, while nonfarm payrolls added 115,000 jobs, exceeding modest expectations and stabilizing unemployment at 4.3%. These data have shifted trader consensus, with CME FedWatch implying rising probabilities of a 25-basis-point hike before year-end (around 37%) or into 2027 (nearing 50%), eroding prior rate-cut hopes. The next FOMC meeting on June 16-17 looms as a key catalyst, where fresh PCE inflation and labor metrics could recalibrate policy expectations.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডFed rate hike by...?
Fed rate hike by...?
$148,132 Vol.
Dec 9, 2026
June Meeting
1%
July Meeting
6%
September Meeting
19%
October Meeting
28%
$148,132 Vol.
June Meeting
$14,531 Vol.
1%
July Meeting
$770 Vol.
6%
September Meeting
$54 Vol.
19%
October Meeting
$1,469 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Federal Reserve has held its federal funds target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% since early 2026, as affirmed in the April 28-29 FOMC statement amid cooling but persistent inflation pressures. April 2026 CPI accelerated to 3.8% year-over-year—the highest since May 2023—following a 0.6% monthly rise, while nonfarm payrolls added 115,000 jobs, exceeding modest expectations and stabilizing unemployment at 4.3%. These data have shifted trader consensus, with CME FedWatch implying rising probabilities of a 25-basis-point hike before year-end (around 37%) or into 2027 (nearing 50%), eroding prior rate-cut hopes. The next FOMC meeting on June 16-17 looms as a key catalyst, where fresh PCE inflation and labor metrics could recalibrate policy expectations.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
ভলিউম
$148,132শেষ তারিখ
Oct 29, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Federal Reserve has held its federal funds target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% since early 2026, as affirmed in the April 28-29 FOMC statement amid cooling but persistent inflation pressures. April 2026 CPI accelerated to 3.8% year-over-year—the highest since May 2023—following a 0.6% monthly rise, while nonfarm payrolls added 115,000 jobs, exceeding modest expectations and stabilizing unemployment at 4.3%. These data have shifted trader consensus, with CME FedWatch implying rising probabilities of a 25-basis-point hike before year-end (around 37%) or into 2027 (nearing 50%), eroding prior rate-cut hopes. The next FOMC meeting on June 16-17 looms as a key catalyst, where fresh PCE inflation and labor metrics could recalibrate policy expectations.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$148,132শেষ তারিখ
Oct 29, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Federal Reserve has held its federal funds target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% since early 2026, as affirmed in the April 28-29 FOMC statement amid cooling but persistent inflation pressures. April 2026 CPI accelerated to 3.8% year-over-year—the highest since May 2023—following a 0.6% monthly rise, while nonfarm payrolls added 115,000 jobs, exceeding modest expectations and stabilizing unemployment at 4.3%. These data have shifted trader consensus, with CME FedWatch implying rising probabilities of a 25-basis-point hike before year-end (around 37%) or into 2027 (nearing 50%), eroding prior rate-cut hopes. The next FOMC meeting on June 16-17 looms as a key catalyst, where fresh PCE inflation and labor metrics could recalibrate policy expectations.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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