Rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, particularly risks tied to the Iran conflict, have driven recent surges in oil prices and lifted inflation expectations, pushing the 10-year Treasury yield to 4.70% as of August 14, 2026—near 19-month highs and up 0.38 percentage points over the past year. Sticky inflation readings, including University of Michigan expectations above 4%, combined with heavy Treasury supply and fiscal concerns, have elevated term premiums and reduced demand for longer-duration bonds. The Federal Reserve's patient stance on the 3.50–3.75% federal funds rate range has further supported higher long-term yields. Key upcoming catalysts include August CPI and PPI releases plus FOMC communications that could shift market-implied rate paths and Treasury yield trajectories before year-end.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$284,581 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
4.8%
63%
5.0%
32%
5.2%
15%
5.5%
7%
5.7%
5%
6.0%
7%
$284,581 Vol.
4.8%
$59,299 Vol.
63%
5.0%
$81,004 Vol.
32%
5.2%
$25,519 Vol.
15%
5.5%
$5,202 Vol.
7%
5.7%
$4,220 Vol.
5%
6.0%
$3,052 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).Rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, particularly risks tied to the Iran conflict, have driven recent surges in oil prices and lifted inflation expectations, pushing the 10-year Treasury yield to 4.70% as of August 14, 2026—near 19-month highs and up 0.38 percentage points over the past year. Sticky inflation readings, including University of Michigan expectations above 4%, combined with heavy Treasury supply and fiscal concerns, have elevated term premiums and reduced demand for longer-duration bonds. The Federal Reserve's patient stance on the 3.50–3.75% federal funds rate range has further supported higher long-term yields. Key upcoming catalysts include August CPI and PPI releases plus FOMC communications that could shift market-implied rate paths and Treasury yield trajectories before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ET
ভলিউম
$284,581শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).Rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, particularly risks tied to the Iran conflict, have driven recent surges in oil prices and lifted inflation expectations, pushing the 10-year Treasury yield to 4.70% as of August 14, 2026—near 19-month highs and up 0.38 percentage points over the past year. Sticky inflation readings, including University of Michigan expectations above 4%, combined with heavy Treasury supply and fiscal concerns, have elevated term premiums and reduced demand for longer-duration bonds. The Federal Reserve's patient stance on the 3.50–3.75% federal funds rate range has further supported higher long-term yields. Key upcoming catalysts include August CPI and PPI releases plus FOMC communications that could shift market-implied rate paths and Treasury yield trajectories before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
ভলিউম
$284,581শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, particularly risks tied to the Iran conflict, have driven recent surges in oil prices and lifted inflation expectations, pushing the 10-year Treasury yield to 4.70% as of August 14, 2026—near 19-month highs and up 0.38 percentage points over the past year. Sticky inflation readings, including University of Michigan expectations above 4%, combined with heavy Treasury supply and fiscal concerns, have elevated term premiums and reduced demand for longer-duration bonds. The Federal Reserve's patient stance on the 3.50–3.75% federal funds rate range has further supported higher long-term yields. Key upcoming catalysts include August CPI and PPI releases plus FOMC communications that could shift market-implied rate paths and Treasury yield trajectories before year-end.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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