The 10-year Treasury yield climbed to 4.58% on May 15, 2026—its highest in 10 months—following April CPI inflation surging to 3.8% year-over-year, the hottest since May 2023 and well above the Federal Reserve's 2% target, fueled by energy costs and sticky services prices. This data has prompted traders to pare back aggressive rate-cut bets, with the Fed holding the federal funds target at 3.50%-3.75% (effective rate 3.64%) after its April meeting amid resilient labor markets. Yields rose from 4.38% last week, reflecting heightened term premium and inflation repricing. Traders eye May CPI release on June 10 and the June 16-17 FOMC for signals on policy path, which could dictate the yield peak before 2027 amid ongoing uncertainty in inflation trajectory and growth.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$210,520 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
4.5%
100%
4.6%
80%
4.8%
33%
5.0%
19%
5.2%
8%
5.5%
7%
5.7%
7%
6.0%
5%
$210,520 Vol.
4.5%
$37,421 Vol.
100%
4.6%
$37,461 Vol.
80%
4.8%
$47,238 Vol.
33%
5.0%
$46,102 Vol.
19%
5.2%
$8,584 Vol.
8%
5.5%
$1,448 Vol.
7%
5.7%
$3,229 Vol.
7%
6.0%
$2,070 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).The 10-year Treasury yield climbed to 4.58% on May 15, 2026—its highest in 10 months—following April CPI inflation surging to 3.8% year-over-year, the hottest since May 2023 and well above the Federal Reserve's 2% target, fueled by energy costs and sticky services prices. This data has prompted traders to pare back aggressive rate-cut bets, with the Fed holding the federal funds target at 3.50%-3.75% (effective rate 3.64%) after its April meeting amid resilient labor markets. Yields rose from 4.38% last week, reflecting heightened term premium and inflation repricing. Traders eye May CPI release on June 10 and the June 16-17 FOMC for signals on policy path, which could dictate the yield peak before 2027 amid ongoing uncertainty in inflation trajectory and growth.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ET
ভলিউম
$210,520শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).The 10-year Treasury yield climbed to 4.58% on May 15, 2026—its highest in 10 months—following April CPI inflation surging to 3.8% year-over-year, the hottest since May 2023 and well above the Federal Reserve's 2% target, fueled by energy costs and sticky services prices. This data has prompted traders to pare back aggressive rate-cut bets, with the Fed holding the federal funds target at 3.50%-3.75% (effective rate 3.64%) after its April meeting amid resilient labor markets. Yields rose from 4.38% last week, reflecting heightened term premium and inflation repricing. Traders eye May CPI release on June 10 and the June 16-17 FOMC for signals on policy path, which could dictate the yield peak before 2027 amid ongoing uncertainty in inflation trajectory and growth.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
ভলিউম
$210,520শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 10-year Treasury yield climbed to 4.58% on May 15, 2026—its highest in 10 months—following April CPI inflation surging to 3.8% year-over-year, the hottest since May 2023 and well above the Federal Reserve's 2% target, fueled by energy costs and sticky services prices. This data has prompted traders to pare back aggressive rate-cut bets, with the Fed holding the federal funds target at 3.50%-3.75% (effective rate 3.64%) after its April meeting amid resilient labor markets. Yields rose from 4.38% last week, reflecting heightened term premium and inflation repricing. Traders eye May CPI release on June 10 and the June 16-17 FOMC for signals on policy path, which could dictate the yield peak before 2027 amid ongoing uncertainty in inflation trajectory and growth.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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