President Donald Trump’s April 2026 public threat to remove Jerome Powell from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors if the chair does not vacate the post upon expiration of his four-year term on May 15 has intensified market focus on the legal and political barriers to such an action. Powell’s separate 14-year governor term extends to January 2028, and he has signaled intent to remain in that capacity pending Senate confirmation of a successor, citing ongoing DOJ scrutiny of Fed headquarters renovations as a potential pretext. Traders are weighing the limits of presidential removal authority under the Federal Reserve Act, historical precedent for central-bank independence, and the Fed’s current policy stance amid 3.5–3.75 percent federal-funds rates. Key near-term catalysts include any confirmation hearings for nominee Kevin Warsh and resolution of the criminal probe, both of which could clarify whether Trump escalates beyond rhetoric.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডWill Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?
$15,171 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
June 30
5%
December 31
18%
$15,171 Vol.
June 30
$8,047 Vol.
5%
December 31
$7,124 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Donald Trump’s April 2026 public threat to remove Jerome Powell from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors if the chair does not vacate the post upon expiration of his four-year term on May 15 has intensified market focus on the legal and political barriers to such an action. Powell’s separate 14-year governor term extends to January 2028, and he has signaled intent to remain in that capacity pending Senate confirmation of a successor, citing ongoing DOJ scrutiny of Fed headquarters renovations as a potential pretext. Traders are weighing the limits of presidential removal authority under the Federal Reserve Act, historical precedent for central-bank independence, and the Fed’s current policy stance amid 3.5–3.75 percent federal-funds rates. Key near-term catalysts include any confirmation hearings for nominee Kevin Warsh and resolution of the criminal probe, both of which could clarify whether Trump escalates beyond rhetoric.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
ভলিউম
$15,171শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Donald Trump’s April 2026 public threat to remove Jerome Powell from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors if the chair does not vacate the post upon expiration of his four-year term on May 15 has intensified market focus on the legal and political barriers to such an action. Powell’s separate 14-year governor term extends to January 2028, and he has signaled intent to remain in that capacity pending Senate confirmation of a successor, citing ongoing DOJ scrutiny of Fed headquarters renovations as a potential pretext. Traders are weighing the limits of presidential removal authority under the Federal Reserve Act, historical precedent for central-bank independence, and the Fed’s current policy stance amid 3.5–3.75 percent federal-funds rates. Key near-term catalysts include any confirmation hearings for nominee Kevin Warsh and resolution of the criminal probe, both of which could clarify whether Trump escalates beyond rhetoric.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$15,171শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump’s April 2026 public threat to remove Jerome Powell from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors if the chair does not vacate the post upon expiration of his four-year term on May 15 has intensified market focus on the legal and political barriers to such an action. Powell’s separate 14-year governor term extends to January 2028, and he has signaled intent to remain in that capacity pending Senate confirmation of a successor, citing ongoing DOJ scrutiny of Fed headquarters renovations as a potential pretext. Traders are weighing the limits of presidential removal authority under the Federal Reserve Act, historical precedent for central-bank independence, and the Fed’s current policy stance amid 3.5–3.75 percent federal-funds rates. Key near-term catalysts include any confirmation hearings for nominee Kevin Warsh and resolution of the criminal probe, both of which could clarify whether Trump escalates beyond rhetoric.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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