Recent Federal Reserve communications and the September 16, 2026, 25-basis-point rate hike to the 3.75-4.00% target range underscore persistent inflation concerns, with August CPI showing a 3.4% year-over-year headline increase and 2.4% core rise. Stable labor conditions, including a 4.1% unemployment rate and solid payroll growth, have reduced urgency for easing while supporting a restrictive stance. FOMC projections signal further tightening potential through 2027, aligning with the 57% market-implied probability of no change and 30% chance of a 25-basis-point increase at the January 2027 meeting. Upcoming data releases on inflation and employment will shape revisions to these trader-consensus odds ahead of the next policy decision.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডNo change 57%
25 bps increase 30%
25 bps decrease 10%
50+ bps decrease 4.5%
$83,370 Vol.
$83,370 Vol.
Jan 27, 2027
50+ bps decrease
5%
25 bps decrease
10%
No change
57%
25 bps increase
30%
50+ bps increase
2%
No change 57%
25 bps increase 30%
25 bps decrease 10%
50+ bps decrease 4.5%
$83,370 Vol.
$83,370 Vol.
Jan 27, 2027
50+ bps decrease
$14,114 Vol.
5%
25 bps decrease
$19,606 Vol.
10%
No change
$21,720 Vol.
57%
25 bps increase
$22,408 Vol.
30%
50+ bps increase
$5,523 Vol.
2%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Recent Federal Reserve communications and the September 16, 2026, 25-basis-point rate hike to the 3.75-4.00% target range underscore persistent inflation concerns, with August CPI showing a 3.4% year-over-year headline increase and 2.4% core rise. Stable labor conditions, including a 4.1% unemployment rate and solid payroll growth, have reduced urgency for easing while supporting a restrictive stance. FOMC projections signal further tightening potential through 2027, aligning with the 57% market-implied probability of no change and 30% chance of a 25-basis-point increase at the January 2027 meeting. Upcoming data releases on inflation and employment will shape revisions to these trader-consensus odds ahead of the next policy decision.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 29, 2026, 8:39 PM ET
ভলিউম
$83,370শেষ তারিখ
Jan 27, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 29, 2026, 8:39 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Recent Federal Reserve communications and the September 16, 2026, 25-basis-point rate hike to the 3.75-4.00% target range underscore persistent inflation concerns, with August CPI showing a 3.4% year-over-year headline increase and 2.4% core rise. Stable labor conditions, including a 4.1% unemployment rate and solid payroll growth, have reduced urgency for easing while supporting a restrictive stance. FOMC projections signal further tightening potential through 2027, aligning with the 57% market-implied probability of no change and 30% chance of a 25-basis-point increase at the January 2027 meeting. Upcoming data releases on inflation and employment will shape revisions to these trader-consensus odds ahead of the next policy decision.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
ভলিউম
$83,370শেষ তারিখ
Jan 27, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 29, 2026, 8:39 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Recent Federal Reserve communications and the September 16, 2026, 25-basis-point rate hike to the 3.75-4.00% target range underscore persistent inflation concerns, with August CPI showing a 3.4% year-over-year headline increase and 2.4% core rise. Stable labor conditions, including a 4.1% unemployment rate and solid payroll growth, have reduced urgency for easing while supporting a restrictive stance. FOMC projections signal further tightening potential through 2027, aligning with the 57% market-implied probability of no change and 30% chance of a 25-basis-point increase at the January 2027 meeting. Upcoming data releases on inflation and employment will shape revisions to these trader-consensus odds ahead of the next policy decision.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা