Elevated inflation and a divided July FOMC statement, where the Fed held the federal funds rate at 3.50–3.75% by a 9-3 vote with three members dissenting in favor of a hike, anchor trader sentiment for the Jul–Oct sequence. June CPI data showed headline inflation easing to 3.5% year-over-year from 4.2% and core at 2.6%, aided by lower energy prices after Middle East developments, yet remaining above the 2% target amid resilient growth and stable labor conditions. These factors support the 37% implied probability on Pause–Pause–Pause while elevating “Other” outcomes at 54.5%, reflecting expectations of possible hikes or mixed decisions. The September 15–16 and October 27–28 meetings, plus upcoming CPI releases and Jackson Hole, remain key catalysts that could shift the market-implied rate path.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডOther 55%
Pause–Pause–Pause 37%
Pause–Pause–Cut 3.3%
Pause–Cut–Pause 1.0%
$664,214 Vol.
$664,214 Vol.
Oct 28, 2026
Pause–Pause–Pause
37%
Pause–Pause–Cut
3%
Pause–Cut–Pause
1%
Pause–Cut–Cut
1%
Other
55%
Other 55%
Pause–Pause–Pause 37%
Pause–Pause–Cut 3.3%
Pause–Cut–Pause 1.0%
$664,214 Vol.
$664,214 Vol.
Oct 28, 2026
Pause–Pause–Pause
$224,173 Vol.
37%
Pause–Pause–Cut
$51,057 Vol.
3%
Pause–Cut–Pause
$31,933 Vol.
1%
Pause–Cut–Cut
$23,467 Vol.
1%
Other
$290,097 Vol.
55%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: July 28-29; September 15-16; and October 27-28.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmElevated inflation and a divided July FOMC statement, where the Fed held the federal funds rate at 3.50–3.75% by a 9-3 vote with three members dissenting in favor of a hike, anchor trader sentiment for the Jul–Oct sequence. June CPI data showed headline inflation easing to 3.5% year-over-year from 4.2% and core at 2.6%, aided by lower energy prices after Middle East developments, yet remaining above the 2% target amid resilient growth and stable labor conditions. These factors support the 37% implied probability on Pause–Pause–Pause while elevating “Other” outcomes at 54.5%, reflecting expectations of possible hikes or mixed decisions. The September 15–16 and October 27–28 meetings, plus upcoming CPI releases and Jackson Hole, remain key catalysts that could shift the market-implied rate path.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: July 28-29; September 15-16; and October 27-28.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: July 28-29; September 15-16; and October 27-28.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jun 17, 2026, 7:17 PM ET
ভলিউম
$664,214শেষ তারিখ
Oct 28, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jun 17, 2026, 7:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: July 28-29; September 15-16; and October 27-28.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmElevated inflation and a divided July FOMC statement, where the Fed held the federal funds rate at 3.50–3.75% by a 9-3 vote with three members dissenting in favor of a hike, anchor trader sentiment for the Jul–Oct sequence. June CPI data showed headline inflation easing to 3.5% year-over-year from 4.2% and core at 2.6%, aided by lower energy prices after Middle East developments, yet remaining above the 2% target amid resilient growth and stable labor conditions. These factors support the 37% implied probability on Pause–Pause–Pause while elevating “Other” outcomes at 54.5%, reflecting expectations of possible hikes or mixed decisions. The September 15–16 and October 27–28 meetings, plus upcoming CPI releases and Jackson Hole, remain key catalysts that could shift the market-implied rate path.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: July 28-29; September 15-16; and October 27-28.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: July 28-29; September 15-16; and October 27-28.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
ভলিউম
$664,214শেষ তারিখ
Oct 28, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jun 17, 2026, 7:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elevated inflation and a divided July FOMC statement, where the Fed held the federal funds rate at 3.50–3.75% by a 9-3 vote with three members dissenting in favor of a hike, anchor trader sentiment for the Jul–Oct sequence. June CPI data showed headline inflation easing to 3.5% year-over-year from 4.2% and core at 2.6%, aided by lower energy prices after Middle East developments, yet remaining above the 2% target amid resilient growth and stable labor conditions. These factors support the 37% implied probability on Pause–Pause–Pause while elevating “Other” outcomes at 54.5%, reflecting expectations of possible hikes or mixed decisions. The September 15–16 and October 27–28 meetings, plus upcoming CPI releases and Jackson Hole, remain key catalysts that could shift the market-implied rate path.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা