Divided FOMC voting and reaccelerating inflation from Middle East supply shocks have produced closely matched trader sentiment between all-pause outcomes through October and scenarios involving at least one hike. The July 29 decision to hold the federal funds rate at 3.50–3.75 percent passed 9-3, with three dissents favoring a 25-basis-point increase, while June CPI printed at 3.5 percent year-over-year amid elevated energy prices. Stable labor-market conditions near 4.1 percent unemployment support the pause case, yet forward-looking market-implied paths now embed roughly 30 basis points of tightening by year-end. The August 12 CPI release and September FOMC meeting with updated projections remain key swing factors that could shift the balance between the 42 percent pause-pause-pause odds and the 48.5 percent “other” category.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডOther 49%
Pause–Pause–Pause 42%
Pause–Pause–Cut 3.1%
Pause–Cut–Pause 1.4%
$666,101 Vol.
$666,101 Vol.
Oct 28, 2026
Pause–Pause–Pause
42%
Pause–Pause–Cut
3%
Pause–Cut–Pause
1%
Pause–Cut–Cut
1%
Other
49%
Other 49%
Pause–Pause–Pause 42%
Pause–Pause–Cut 3.1%
Pause–Cut–Pause 1.4%
$666,101 Vol.
$666,101 Vol.
Oct 28, 2026
Pause–Pause–Pause
$225,564 Vol.
42%
Pause–Pause–Cut
$51,147 Vol.
3%
Pause–Cut–Pause
$31,993 Vol.
1%
Pause–Cut–Cut
$23,525 Vol.
1%
Other
$290,384 Vol.
49%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: July 28-29; September 15-16; and October 27-28.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmDivided FOMC voting and reaccelerating inflation from Middle East supply shocks have produced closely matched trader sentiment between all-pause outcomes through October and scenarios involving at least one hike. The July 29 decision to hold the federal funds rate at 3.50–3.75 percent passed 9-3, with three dissents favoring a 25-basis-point increase, while June CPI printed at 3.5 percent year-over-year amid elevated energy prices. Stable labor-market conditions near 4.1 percent unemployment support the pause case, yet forward-looking market-implied paths now embed roughly 30 basis points of tightening by year-end. The August 12 CPI release and September FOMC meeting with updated projections remain key swing factors that could shift the balance between the 42 percent pause-pause-pause odds and the 48.5 percent “other” category.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: July 28-29; September 15-16; and October 27-28.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: July 28-29; September 15-16; and October 27-28.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jun 17, 2026, 7:17 PM ET
ভলিউম
$666,101শেষ তারিখ
Oct 28, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jun 17, 2026, 7:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: July 28-29; September 15-16; and October 27-28.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmDivided FOMC voting and reaccelerating inflation from Middle East supply shocks have produced closely matched trader sentiment between all-pause outcomes through October and scenarios involving at least one hike. The July 29 decision to hold the federal funds rate at 3.50–3.75 percent passed 9-3, with three dissents favoring a 25-basis-point increase, while June CPI printed at 3.5 percent year-over-year amid elevated energy prices. Stable labor-market conditions near 4.1 percent unemployment support the pause case, yet forward-looking market-implied paths now embed roughly 30 basis points of tightening by year-end. The August 12 CPI release and September FOMC meeting with updated projections remain key swing factors that could shift the balance between the 42 percent pause-pause-pause odds and the 48.5 percent “other” category.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: July 28-29; September 15-16; and October 27-28.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: July 28-29; September 15-16; and October 27-28.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
ভলিউম
$666,101শেষ তারিখ
Oct 28, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jun 17, 2026, 7:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Divided FOMC voting and reaccelerating inflation from Middle East supply shocks have produced closely matched trader sentiment between all-pause outcomes through October and scenarios involving at least one hike. The July 29 decision to hold the federal funds rate at 3.50–3.75 percent passed 9-3, with three dissents favoring a 25-basis-point increase, while June CPI printed at 3.5 percent year-over-year amid elevated energy prices. Stable labor-market conditions near 4.1 percent unemployment support the pause case, yet forward-looking market-implied paths now embed roughly 30 basis points of tightening by year-end. The August 12 CPI release and September FOMC meeting with updated projections remain key swing factors that could shift the balance between the 42 percent pause-pause-pause odds and the 48.5 percent “other” category.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা