Recent UK economic data and central bank projections point to subdued Q3 2026 GDP growth as the primary driver behind the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 0.0–0.3% outcomes. Q1 expansion of 0.6% has given way to underlying growth near 0.1% in Q2, with Bank of England staff now forecasting a stall around 0% for Q3 amid elevated energy import costs and weaker business confidence tied to Middle East supply disruptions. Persistent inflation above target has kept Bank Rate at 3.75%, limiting monetary support, while annual 2026 forecasts from the OECD and others hover near 0.9–1.4% with downside risks. Key upcoming catalysts include the September 17 Bank of England decision and September–October data releases that could shift quarterly momentum before Q3 figures are published.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড0.2–0.3% 41%
0.0–0.1% 40%
0.4–0.5% 35%
Negative 34%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 12, 2026
Negative
34%
0.0–0.1%
40%
0.2–0.3%
41%
0.4–0.5%
35%
0.6–0.7%
34%
0.8–0.9%
6%
1.0%+
6%
0.2–0.3% 41%
0.0–0.1% 40%
0.4–0.5% 35%
Negative 34%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 12, 2026
Negative
$0 Vol.
34%
0.0–0.1%
$20 Vol.
40%
0.2–0.3%
$0 Vol.
41%
0.4–0.5%
$0 Vol.
35%
0.6–0.7%
$0 Vol.
34%
0.8–0.9%
$0 Vol.
6%
1.0%+
$0 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the UK real gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate (% change) for Q3 of 2026 compared with the most recent quarter (quarter-on-previous-quarter) in the "GDP first quarterly estimate, UK" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for November 12, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent UK economic data and central bank projections point to subdued Q3 2026 GDP growth as the primary driver behind the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 0.0–0.3% outcomes. Q1 expansion of 0.6% has given way to underlying growth near 0.1% in Q2, with Bank of England staff now forecasting a stall around 0% for Q3 amid elevated energy import costs and weaker business confidence tied to Middle East supply disruptions. Persistent inflation above target has kept Bank Rate at 3.75%, limiting monetary support, while annual 2026 forecasts from the OECD and others hover near 0.9–1.4% with downside risks. Key upcoming catalysts include the September 17 Bank of England decision and September–October data releases that could shift quarterly momentum before Q3 figures are published.
This market will resolve according to the UK real gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate (% change) for Q3 of 2026 compared with the most recent quarter (quarter-on-previous-quarter) in the "GDP first quarterly estimate, UK" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for November 12, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 13, 2026, 1:43 PM ET
ভলিউম
$20শেষ তারিখ
Nov 12, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 13, 2026, 1:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the UK real gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate (% change) for Q3 of 2026 compared with the most recent quarter (quarter-on-previous-quarter) in the "GDP first quarterly estimate, UK" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for November 12, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent UK economic data and central bank projections point to subdued Q3 2026 GDP growth as the primary driver behind the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 0.0–0.3% outcomes. Q1 expansion of 0.6% has given way to underlying growth near 0.1% in Q2, with Bank of England staff now forecasting a stall around 0% for Q3 amid elevated energy import costs and weaker business confidence tied to Middle East supply disruptions. Persistent inflation above target has kept Bank Rate at 3.75%, limiting monetary support, while annual 2026 forecasts from the OECD and others hover near 0.9–1.4% with downside risks. Key upcoming catalysts include the September 17 Bank of England decision and September–October data releases that could shift quarterly momentum before Q3 figures are published.
This market will resolve according to the UK real gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate (% change) for Q3 of 2026 compared with the most recent quarter (quarter-on-previous-quarter) in the "GDP first quarterly estimate, UK" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for November 12, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
ভলিউম
$20শেষ তারিখ
Nov 12, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 13, 2026, 1:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent UK economic data and central bank projections point to subdued Q3 2026 GDP growth as the primary driver behind the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 0.0–0.3% outcomes. Q1 expansion of 0.6% has given way to underlying growth near 0.1% in Q2, with Bank of England staff now forecasting a stall around 0% for Q3 amid elevated energy import costs and weaker business confidence tied to Middle East supply disruptions. Persistent inflation above target has kept Bank Rate at 3.75%, limiting monetary support, while annual 2026 forecasts from the OECD and others hover near 0.9–1.4% with downside risks. Key upcoming catalysts include the September 17 Bank of England decision and September–October data releases that could shift quarterly momentum before Q3 figures are published.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা