Incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva of the Workers’ Party seeks a fourth term in Brazil’s October 4, 2026 general election, while Senator Flávio Bolsonaro of the Liberal Party carries the endorsement of his father, former President Jair Bolsonaro, who remains ineligible due to a coup-related conviction. Recent national polls show the pair leading first-round voting intentions by wide margins over rivals such as Ronaldo Caiado and Romeu Zema, with both candidates positioned to advance under the two-round system that requires a majority for outright victory. Simulated runoff surveys remain statistically tied, reflecting voter concerns over crime, the economy, and institutional stability that continue to shape the contest ahead of the potential October 25 second round.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডWhich candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?
Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?
$320,916 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
84%
Flavio Bolsonaro
72%
Fernando Haddad
8%
Michelle Bolsonaro
4%
Jair Bolsonaro
3%
Tarcisio de Frietas
3%
$320,916 Vol.
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
$135,041 Vol.
84%
Flavio Bolsonaro
$20,597 Vol.
72%
Fernando Haddad
$51,460 Vol.
8%
Michelle Bolsonaro
$26,595 Vol.
4%
Jair Bolsonaro
$11,175 Vol.
3%
Tarcisio de Frietas
$76,048 Vol.
3%
General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva of the Workers’ Party seeks a fourth term in Brazil’s October 4, 2026 general election, while Senator Flávio Bolsonaro of the Liberal Party carries the endorsement of his father, former President Jair Bolsonaro, who remains ineligible due to a coup-related conviction. Recent national polls show the pair leading first-round voting intentions by wide margins over rivals such as Ronaldo Caiado and Romeu Zema, with both candidates positioned to advance under the two-round system that requires a majority for outright victory. Simulated runoff surveys remain statistically tied, reflecting voter concerns over crime, the economy, and institutional stability that continue to shape the contest ahead of the potential October 25 second round.
General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 18, 2025, 1:53 PM ET
ভলিউম
$320,916শেষ তারিখ
Oct 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 18, 2025, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva of the Workers’ Party seeks a fourth term in Brazil’s October 4, 2026 general election, while Senator Flávio Bolsonaro of the Liberal Party carries the endorsement of his father, former President Jair Bolsonaro, who remains ineligible due to a coup-related conviction. Recent national polls show the pair leading first-round voting intentions by wide margins over rivals such as Ronaldo Caiado and Romeu Zema, with both candidates positioned to advance under the two-round system that requires a majority for outright victory. Simulated runoff surveys remain statistically tied, reflecting voter concerns over crime, the economy, and institutional stability that continue to shape the contest ahead of the potential October 25 second round.
General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
ভলিউম
$320,916শেষ তারিখ
Oct 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 18, 2025, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva of the Workers’ Party seeks a fourth term in Brazil’s October 4, 2026 general election, while Senator Flávio Bolsonaro of the Liberal Party carries the endorsement of his father, former President Jair Bolsonaro, who remains ineligible due to a coup-related conviction. Recent national polls show the pair leading first-round voting intentions by wide margins over rivals such as Ronaldo Caiado and Romeu Zema, with both candidates positioned to advance under the two-round system that requires a majority for outright victory. Simulated runoff surveys remain statistically tied, reflecting voter concerns over crime, the economy, and institutional stability that continue to shape the contest ahead of the potential October 25 second round.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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