Lula's commanding 96.5% implied probability stems from his incumbency as president, deep-rooted support in Pernambuco as his home state, and consistent polling leads in the Northeast region ahead of the 2026 first-round vote. Historical voting patterns, local economic indicators, and limited organized opposition in the state have further anchored trader consensus. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include late-breaking national scandals, significant health developments affecting the incumbent, or an unexpected surge by challengers such as Flavio Bolsonaro in regional turnout dynamics.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Pernambuco
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Pernambuco
Lula 96.5%
Flavio Bolsonaro 1.7%
Renan Santos <1%
Zema <1%
নতুন
নতুন
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
97%
Flavio Bolsonaro
2%
Renan Santos
1%
Zema
1%
Clariana Barao
1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Samara
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Lula 96.5%
Flavio Bolsonaro 1.7%
Renan Santos <1%
Zema <1%
নতুন
নতুন
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
$5,621 Vol.
97%
Flavio Bolsonaro
$382 Vol.
2%
Renan Santos
$267 Vol.
1%
Zema
$281 Vol.
1%
Clariana Barao
$267 Vol.
1%
Hertz Dias
$313 Vol.
<1%
Pablo Marçal
$324 Vol.
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$401 Vol.
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$324 Vol.
<1%
Samara
$281 Vol.
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$280 Vol.
<1%
Edmilson Costa
$324 Vol.
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$324 Vol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pernambuco, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula's commanding 96.5% implied probability stems from his incumbency as president, deep-rooted support in Pernambuco as his home state, and consistent polling leads in the Northeast region ahead of the 2026 first-round vote. Historical voting patterns, local economic indicators, and limited organized opposition in the state have further anchored trader consensus. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include late-breaking national scandals, significant health developments affecting the incumbent, or an unexpected surge by challengers such as Flavio Bolsonaro in regional turnout dynamics.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pernambuco, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ET
ভলিউম
$9,388শেষ তারিখ
Oct 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pernambuco, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula's commanding 96.5% implied probability stems from his incumbency as president, deep-rooted support in Pernambuco as his home state, and consistent polling leads in the Northeast region ahead of the 2026 first-round vote. Historical voting patterns, local economic indicators, and limited organized opposition in the state have further anchored trader consensus. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include late-breaking national scandals, significant health developments affecting the incumbent, or an unexpected surge by challengers such as Flavio Bolsonaro in regional turnout dynamics.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pernambuco, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
ভলিউম
$9,388শেষ তারিখ
Oct 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Lula's commanding 96.5% implied probability stems from his incumbency as president, deep-rooted support in Pernambuco as his home state, and consistent polling leads in the Northeast region ahead of the 2026 first-round vote. Historical voting patterns, local economic indicators, and limited organized opposition in the state have further anchored trader consensus. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include late-breaking national scandals, significant health developments affecting the incumbent, or an unexpected surge by challengers such as Flavio Bolsonaro in regional turnout dynamics.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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