Eduardo Paes (PSD) holds an 82.6% implied probability in the Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial race due to consistent leads in recent polling, including a September 11 Datafolha survey showing him at 43% against Douglas Ruas (PL) at 25%. As the sitting mayor of Rio with multiple prior terms and a broad coalition spanning PSD, MDB, and allied parties, Paes benefits from name recognition and endorsements ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Ruas, backed by PL and positioned for a potential runoff, trails at 15.5% amid lower visibility. Anthony Garotinho’s candidacy was recently barred by the electoral court, further consolidating the field. Minor candidates, including several at 0.1%, register negligible support in surveys and lack organized backing or ballot momentum. Trader consensus tracks these polling trends and the compressed timeline to election day, with no major late shifts reported in the past week.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডEduardo Paes 82.7%
Douglas Ruas 15.6%
Rafa Luz <1%
Colonel Busnello <1%
$485,000 Vol.
$485,000 Vol.
Eduardo Paes
83%
Douglas Ruas
16%
Rafa Luz
<1%
Colonel Busnello
<1%
Felipe Curi
<1%
Dr. Luizinho
<1%
Eduardo Pazuello
<1%
Tarcísio Motta
<1%
Anthony Garotinho
<1%
Wilson Witzel
<1%
André Português
<1%
Lindbergh Farias
<1%
Nicola Miccione
<1%
André Ceciliano
<1%
Chico Machado
<1%
Fred Pacheco
<1%
Eduardo Paes 82.7%
Douglas Ruas 15.6%
Rafa Luz <1%
Colonel Busnello <1%
$485,000 Vol.
$485,000 Vol.
Eduardo Paes
83%
Douglas Ruas
16%
Rafa Luz
<1%
Colonel Busnello
<1%
Felipe Curi
<1%
Dr. Luizinho
<1%
Eduardo Pazuello
<1%
Tarcísio Motta
<1%
Anthony Garotinho
<1%
Wilson Witzel
<1%
André Português
<1%
Lindbergh Farias
<1%
Nicola Miccione
<1%
André Ceciliano
<1%
Chico Machado
<1%
Fred Pacheco
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jun 9, 2026, 10:22 PM ET
রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Eduardo Paes (PSD) holds an 82.6% implied probability in the Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial race due to consistent leads in recent polling, including a September 11 Datafolha survey showing him at 43% against Douglas Ruas (PL) at 25%. As the sitting mayor of Rio with multiple prior terms and a broad coalition spanning PSD, MDB, and allied parties, Paes benefits from name recognition and endorsements ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Ruas, backed by PL and positioned for a potential runoff, trails at 15.5% amid lower visibility. Anthony Garotinho’s candidacy was recently barred by the electoral court, further consolidating the field. Minor candidates, including several at 0.1%, register negligible support in surveys and lack organized backing or ballot momentum. Trader consensus tracks these polling trends and the compressed timeline to election day, with no major late shifts reported in the past week.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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