Flávio Bolsonaro's recent Liberal Party nomination and campaign launch events in São Paulo have anchored his position as the leading right-wing contender for first place in the state's first-round vote on October 4. As the endorsed successor to his ineligible father, Jair Bolsonaro, he consolidates conservative and evangelical support in Brazil's most populous state amid a fragmented field that includes lower-polling figures such as Ronaldo Caiado and Pablo Marçal. Incumbent President Lula da Silva maintains a national edge through economic messaging on job growth and debt relief, though his São Paulo performance trails in trader pricing. Tight national runoffs and recent polling volatility around family and scandal-related issues keep the state outcome competitive, with upcoming São Paulo debates and regional turnout patterns likely to determine any separation before election night.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLula 46%
Flavio Bolsonaro 32%
Escritor Augusto Cury 28%
Clariana Barao 26%
নতুন
নতুন
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
46%
Flavio Bolsonaro
32%
Escritor Augusto Cury
28%
Clariana Barao
26%
Samara
26%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
26%
Edmilson Costa
26%
Pablo Marçal
26%
Zema
21%
Ronaldo Caiado
19%
Hertz Dias
18%
Rui Costa Pimenta
16%
Renan Santos
3%
Lula 46%
Flavio Bolsonaro 32%
Escritor Augusto Cury 28%
Clariana Barao 26%
নতুন
নতুন
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
$0 Vol.
46%
Flavio Bolsonaro
$0 Vol.
32%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$0 Vol.
28%
Clariana Barao
$60 Vol.
26%
Samara
$60 Vol.
26%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$60 Vol.
26%
Edmilson Costa
$60 Vol.
26%
Pablo Marçal
$60 Vol.
26%
Zema
$0 Vol.
21%
Ronaldo Caiado
$0 Vol.
19%
Hertz Dias
$55 Vol.
18%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$61 Vol.
16%
Renan Santos
$71 Vol.
3%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in São Paulo, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from São Paulo.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in São Paulo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro's recent Liberal Party nomination and campaign launch events in São Paulo have anchored his position as the leading right-wing contender for first place in the state's first-round vote on October 4. As the endorsed successor to his ineligible father, Jair Bolsonaro, he consolidates conservative and evangelical support in Brazil's most populous state amid a fragmented field that includes lower-polling figures such as Ronaldo Caiado and Pablo Marçal. Incumbent President Lula da Silva maintains a national edge through economic messaging on job growth and debt relief, though his São Paulo performance trails in trader pricing. Tight national runoffs and recent polling volatility around family and scandal-related issues keep the state outcome competitive, with upcoming São Paulo debates and regional turnout patterns likely to determine any separation before election night.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in São Paulo, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from São Paulo.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in São Paulo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from São Paulo.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in São Paulo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ET
ভলিউম
$487শেষ তারিখ
Oct 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in São Paulo, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from São Paulo.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in São Paulo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro's recent Liberal Party nomination and campaign launch events in São Paulo have anchored his position as the leading right-wing contender for first place in the state's first-round vote on October 4. As the endorsed successor to his ineligible father, Jair Bolsonaro, he consolidates conservative and evangelical support in Brazil's most populous state amid a fragmented field that includes lower-polling figures such as Ronaldo Caiado and Pablo Marçal. Incumbent President Lula da Silva maintains a national edge through economic messaging on job growth and debt relief, though his São Paulo performance trails in trader pricing. Tight national runoffs and recent polling volatility around family and scandal-related issues keep the state outcome competitive, with upcoming São Paulo debates and regional turnout patterns likely to determine any separation before election night.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in São Paulo, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from São Paulo.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in São Paulo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from São Paulo.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in São Paulo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
ভলিউম
$487শেষ তারিখ
Oct 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Flávio Bolsonaro's recent Liberal Party nomination and campaign launch events in São Paulo have anchored his position as the leading right-wing contender for first place in the state's first-round vote on October 4. As the endorsed successor to his ineligible father, Jair Bolsonaro, he consolidates conservative and evangelical support in Brazil's most populous state amid a fragmented field that includes lower-polling figures such as Ronaldo Caiado and Pablo Marçal. Incumbent President Lula da Silva maintains a national edge through economic messaging on job growth and debt relief, though his São Paulo performance trails in trader pricing. Tight national runoffs and recent polling volatility around family and scandal-related issues keep the state outcome competitive, with upcoming São Paulo debates and regional turnout patterns likely to determine any separation before election night.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা