In Brazil's October 4 first-round presidential contest, Mato Grosso do Sul voters face a fragmented field where national frontrunners Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro compete alongside several right-leaning options including Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, Renan Santos, and Pablo Marçal. Recent national surveys show Lula holding a modest edge in first-round intention while Flávio benefits from his father's endorsement and Liberal Party infrastructure, yet the presence of multiple conservative candidates risks splitting that vote. Mato Grosso do Sul lacks recent state-specific polling, leaving traders to weigh the region's agricultural base and past voting patterns against broader economic and polarization trends. With registration closed and the vote weeks away, the tight implied probabilities reflect uncertainty over turnout, last-minute shifts, and whether any single contender can consolidate enough support for a clear state plurality.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডPablo Marçal 44%
Renan Santos 44%
Ronaldo Caiado 44%
Rui Costa Pimenta 44%
নতুন
নতুন
Oct 4, 2026
Pablo Marçal
44%
Renan Santos
44%
Ronaldo Caiado
44%
Rui Costa Pimenta
44%
Samara
44%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
44%
Zema
44%
Flavio Bolsonaro
42%
Hertz Dias
41%
Lula
41%
Clariana Barao
40%
Edmilson Costa
40%
Escritor Augusto Cury
40%
Pablo Marçal 44%
Renan Santos 44%
Ronaldo Caiado 44%
Rui Costa Pimenta 44%
নতুন
নতুন
Oct 4, 2026
Pablo Marçal
$0 Vol.
44%
Renan Santos
$0 Vol.
44%
Ronaldo Caiado
$0 Vol.
44%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$0 Vol.
44%
Samara
$0 Vol.
44%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$0 Vol.
44%
Zema
$0 Vol.
44%
Flavio Bolsonaro
$0 Vol.
42%
Hertz Dias
$0 Vol.
41%
Lula
$0 Vol.
41%
Clariana Barao
$0 Vol.
40%
Edmilson Costa
$0 Vol.
40%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$0 Vol.
40%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Mato Grosso do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Mato Grosso do Sul.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Mato Grosso do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).In Brazil's October 4 first-round presidential contest, Mato Grosso do Sul voters face a fragmented field where national frontrunners Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro compete alongside several right-leaning options including Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, Renan Santos, and Pablo Marçal. Recent national surveys show Lula holding a modest edge in first-round intention while Flávio benefits from his father's endorsement and Liberal Party infrastructure, yet the presence of multiple conservative candidates risks splitting that vote. Mato Grosso do Sul lacks recent state-specific polling, leaving traders to weigh the region's agricultural base and past voting patterns against broader economic and polarization trends. With registration closed and the vote weeks away, the tight implied probabilities reflect uncertainty over turnout, last-minute shifts, and whether any single contender can consolidate enough support for a clear state plurality.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Mato Grosso do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Mato Grosso do Sul.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Mato Grosso do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Mato Grosso do Sul.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Mato Grosso do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 17, 2026, 6:31 AM ET
ভলিউম
$0শেষ তারিখ
Oct 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 17, 2026, 6:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Mato Grosso do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Mato Grosso do Sul.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Mato Grosso do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).In Brazil's October 4 first-round presidential contest, Mato Grosso do Sul voters face a fragmented field where national frontrunners Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro compete alongside several right-leaning options including Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, Renan Santos, and Pablo Marçal. Recent national surveys show Lula holding a modest edge in first-round intention while Flávio benefits from his father's endorsement and Liberal Party infrastructure, yet the presence of multiple conservative candidates risks splitting that vote. Mato Grosso do Sul lacks recent state-specific polling, leaving traders to weigh the region's agricultural base and past voting patterns against broader economic and polarization trends. With registration closed and the vote weeks away, the tight implied probabilities reflect uncertainty over turnout, last-minute shifts, and whether any single contender can consolidate enough support for a clear state plurality.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Mato Grosso do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Mato Grosso do Sul.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Mato Grosso do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Mato Grosso do Sul.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Mato Grosso do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
ভলিউম
$0শেষ তারিখ
Oct 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 17, 2026, 6:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...In Brazil's October 4 first-round presidential contest, Mato Grosso do Sul voters face a fragmented field where national frontrunners Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro compete alongside several right-leaning options including Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, Renan Santos, and Pablo Marçal. Recent national surveys show Lula holding a modest edge in first-round intention while Flávio benefits from his father's endorsement and Liberal Party infrastructure, yet the presence of multiple conservative candidates risks splitting that vote. Mato Grosso do Sul lacks recent state-specific polling, leaving traders to weigh the region's agricultural base and past voting patterns against broader economic and polarization trends. With registration closed and the vote weeks away, the tight implied probabilities reflect uncertainty over turnout, last-minute shifts, and whether any single contender can consolidate enough support for a clear state plurality.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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