Polymarket traders price Brazil's 2026 annual IPCA inflation—measured as the 12-month change ending December—near 5.25%, with tightly contested implied probabilities around 5.00-5.99% reflecting uncertainty over the trajectory from April's 4.39% year-over-year reading, up from 3.81% in February amid food, fuel, and housing pressures. The Banco Central do Brasil (BCB) raised its 2026 forecast to 4.6% in its April Copom meeting while cutting the Selic rate to 14.50%, signaling cautious easing despite sticky core inflation nearing the 4.5% target ceiling; market consensus via Focus polls sits at 4.8%. Key differentiators include May IPCA data due mid-June and the June 16-17 Copom decision, where services inflation or fiscal slippage could tip odds higher.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড5.00-5.49% 20.6%
4.50-4.99% 19.2%
4.00-4.49% 8.3%
3.00-3.49% 8.1%
$57,304 Vol.
$57,304 Vol.
Jan 12, 2027
<3.00%
<1%
3.00-3.49%
8%
3.50-3.99%
3%
4.00-4.49%
8%
4.50-4.99%
19%
5.00-5.49%
21%
5.50-5.99%
21%
6.00-6.49%
6%
6.50-6.99%
6%
7.00%+
9%
5.00-5.49% 20.6%
4.50-4.99% 19.2%
4.00-4.49% 8.3%
3.00-3.49% 8.1%
$57,304 Vol.
$57,304 Vol.
Jan 12, 2027
<3.00%
$4,310 Vol.
<1%
3.00-3.49%
$4,370 Vol.
8%
3.50-3.99%
$8,996 Vol.
3%
4.00-4.49%
$7,722 Vol.
8%
4.50-4.99%
$7,022 Vol.
19%
5.00-5.49%
$6,104 Vol.
21%
5.50-5.99%
$5,695 Vol.
21%
6.00-6.49%
$4,670 Vol.
6%
6.50-6.99%
$4,858 Vol.
6%
7.00%+
$3,556 Vol.
9%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.htmlPolymarket traders price Brazil's 2026 annual IPCA inflation—measured as the 12-month change ending December—near 5.25%, with tightly contested implied probabilities around 5.00-5.99% reflecting uncertainty over the trajectory from April's 4.39% year-over-year reading, up from 3.81% in February amid food, fuel, and housing pressures. The Banco Central do Brasil (BCB) raised its 2026 forecast to 4.6% in its April Copom meeting while cutting the Selic rate to 14.50%, signaling cautious easing despite sticky core inflation nearing the 4.5% target ceiling; market consensus via Focus polls sits at 4.8%. Key differentiators include May IPCA data due mid-June and the June 16-17 Copom decision, where services inflation or fiscal slippage could tip odds higher.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 23, 2026, 10:35 AM ET
ভলিউম
$57,304শেষ তারিখ
Jan 12, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 23, 2026, 10:35 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.htmlPolymarket traders price Brazil's 2026 annual IPCA inflation—measured as the 12-month change ending December—near 5.25%, with tightly contested implied probabilities around 5.00-5.99% reflecting uncertainty over the trajectory from April's 4.39% year-over-year reading, up from 3.81% in February amid food, fuel, and housing pressures. The Banco Central do Brasil (BCB) raised its 2026 forecast to 4.6% in its April Copom meeting while cutting the Selic rate to 14.50%, signaling cautious easing despite sticky core inflation nearing the 4.5% target ceiling; market consensus via Focus polls sits at 4.8%. Key differentiators include May IPCA data due mid-June and the June 16-17 Copom decision, where services inflation or fiscal slippage could tip odds higher.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
ভলিউম
$57,304শেষ তারিখ
Jan 12, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 23, 2026, 10:35 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders price Brazil's 2026 annual IPCA inflation—measured as the 12-month change ending December—near 5.25%, with tightly contested implied probabilities around 5.00-5.99% reflecting uncertainty over the trajectory from April's 4.39% year-over-year reading, up from 3.81% in February amid food, fuel, and housing pressures. The Banco Central do Brasil (BCB) raised its 2026 forecast to 4.6% in its April Copom meeting while cutting the Selic rate to 14.50%, signaling cautious easing despite sticky core inflation nearing the 4.5% target ceiling; market consensus via Focus polls sits at 4.8%. Key differentiators include May IPCA data due mid-June and the June 16-17 Copom decision, where services inflation or fiscal slippage could tip odds higher.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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