Recent disinflation in Mexico, with the annual CPI rate falling to 3.12% in July 2026 from 3.37% in June and core measures easing toward Banxico's 3% target band, underpins the 46% market-implied probability for the 3.50-3.99% range on 2026 annual inflation. Bank of Mexico communications, including the August policy hold at 6.50% and unchanged end-2026 forecasts near 3.5%, reinforce trader expectations of gradual convergence without rapid further drops. Persistent services inflation and delayed target return until late 2027 limit downside bets, while upward revisions to non-core components earlier in the year cap upside risk in the 4.00%+ bands.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডMexico Annual Inflation 2026
3.50% to 3.99% 46.0%
4.00% to 4.49% 29%
4.50% to 4.99% 8%
3.00% to 3.49% 7.0%
$63,934 Vol.
$63,934 Vol.
<2.50%
1%
2.50% to 2.99%
5%
3.00% to 3.49%
7%
3.50% to 3.99%
46%
4.00% to 4.49%
29%
4.50% to 4.99%
8%
5.00% to 5.49%
5%
5.50%+
2%
3.50% to 3.99% 46.0%
4.00% to 4.49% 29%
4.50% to 4.99% 8%
3.00% to 3.49% 7.0%
$63,934 Vol.
$63,934 Vol.
<2.50%
1%
2.50% to 2.99%
5%
3.00% to 3.49%
7%
3.50% to 3.99%
46%
4.00% to 4.49%
29%
4.50% to 4.99%
8%
5.00% to 5.49%
5%
5.50%+
2%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent disinflation in Mexico, with the annual CPI rate falling to 3.12% in July 2026 from 3.37% in June and core measures easing toward Banxico's 3% target band, underpins the 46% market-implied probability for the 3.50-3.99% range on 2026 annual inflation. Bank of Mexico communications, including the August policy hold at 6.50% and unchanged end-2026 forecasts near 3.5%, reinforce trader expectations of gradual convergence without rapid further drops. Persistent services inflation and delayed target return until late 2027 limit downside bets, while upward revisions to non-core components earlier in the year cap upside risk in the 4.00%+ bands.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড



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