Recent upward pressure on UK inflation stems primarily from energy price surges tied to Middle East geopolitical tensions, pushing March 2026 CPI to 3.3 percent from 3.0 percent in February. The Bank of England’s April Monetary Policy Report projects inflation rising to slightly above 3.5 percent by year-end in its baseline scenarios, with potential peaks exceeding 6 percent in higher-shock cases driven by pass-through to wages and services. Market-implied odds favor outcomes above 3.5 percent, reflecting trader expectations that base effects from prior energy increases and firm pricing intentions will sustain elevated readings through 2026 despite labor market slack. Upcoming CPI releases and the Bank’s next policy meeting remain key catalysts that could shift consensus around these implied probabilities.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডU.K. Annual Inflation 2026
U.K. Annual Inflation 2026
4.0-4.4% 27%
3.5–3.9% 26%
4.5%+ 23%
1.0–1.4% 4.6%
নতুন
নতুন
Jan 20, 2027
<1.0%
1%
1.0–1.4%
5%
1.5–1.9%
4%
2.0–2.4%
11%
2.5–2.9%
15%
3.5–3.9%
26%
4.0-4.4%
27%
4.5%+
35%
4.0-4.4% 27%
3.5–3.9% 26%
4.5%+ 23%
1.0–1.4% 4.6%
নতুন
নতুন
Jan 20, 2027
<1.0%
$802 Vol.
1%
1.0–1.4%
$330 Vol.
5%
1.5–1.9%
$483 Vol.
4%
2.0–2.4%
$305 Vol.
11%
2.5–2.9%
$385 Vol.
15%
3.5–3.9%
$525 Vol.
26%
4.0-4.4%
$420 Vol.
27%
4.5%+
$1,080 Vol.
35%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendarRecent upward pressure on UK inflation stems primarily from energy price surges tied to Middle East geopolitical tensions, pushing March 2026 CPI to 3.3 percent from 3.0 percent in February. The Bank of England’s April Monetary Policy Report projects inflation rising to slightly above 3.5 percent by year-end in its baseline scenarios, with potential peaks exceeding 6 percent in higher-shock cases driven by pass-through to wages and services. Market-implied odds favor outcomes above 3.5 percent, reflecting trader expectations that base effects from prior energy increases and firm pricing intentions will sustain elevated readings through 2026 despite labor market slack. Upcoming CPI releases and the Bank’s next policy meeting remain key catalysts that could shift consensus around these implied probabilities.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
ভলিউম
$4,329শেষ তারিখ
Jan 20, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendarRecent upward pressure on UK inflation stems primarily from energy price surges tied to Middle East geopolitical tensions, pushing March 2026 CPI to 3.3 percent from 3.0 percent in February. The Bank of England’s April Monetary Policy Report projects inflation rising to slightly above 3.5 percent by year-end in its baseline scenarios, with potential peaks exceeding 6 percent in higher-shock cases driven by pass-through to wages and services. Market-implied odds favor outcomes above 3.5 percent, reflecting trader expectations that base effects from prior energy increases and firm pricing intentions will sustain elevated readings through 2026 despite labor market slack. Upcoming CPI releases and the Bank’s next policy meeting remain key catalysts that could shift consensus around these implied probabilities.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
ভলিউম
$4,329শেষ তারিখ
Jan 20, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent upward pressure on UK inflation stems primarily from energy price surges tied to Middle East geopolitical tensions, pushing March 2026 CPI to 3.3 percent from 3.0 percent in February. The Bank of England’s April Monetary Policy Report projects inflation rising to slightly above 3.5 percent by year-end in its baseline scenarios, with potential peaks exceeding 6 percent in higher-shock cases driven by pass-through to wages and services. Market-implied odds favor outcomes above 3.5 percent, reflecting trader expectations that base effects from prior energy increases and firm pricing intentions will sustain elevated readings through 2026 despite labor market slack. Upcoming CPI releases and the Bank’s next policy meeting remain key catalysts that could shift consensus around these implied probabilities.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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