Recent energy price volatility stemming from Middle East developments has lifted Bank of England projections for UK CPI inflation to a 3.2% peak in 2026 Q4, up from earlier expectations near the 2% target, pushing trader consensus toward the 2.5–2.9% annual average range. June 2026 CPI eased to 2.6%, with core measures stable, yet indirect effects from higher import costs and food prices are projected to dominate the second half. The MPC’s 3.75% Bank Rate stance, alongside loosening labor market conditions, aims to limit second-round wage and price pressures, though upside risks remain if energy shocks persist. Market-implied odds across buckets underscore uncertainty over the scale of pass-through versus disinflationary forces from prior monetary tightening. Key catalysts include the September 2026 FOMC-aligned policy decision and upcoming energy market data releases.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডU.K. Annual Inflation 2026
U.K. Annual Inflation 2026
2.5–2.9% 23.4%
4.0-4.4% 12%
2.0–2.4% 8.7%
4.5%+ 8%
$52,629 Vol.
$52,629 Vol.
Jan 20, 2027
<1.0%
<1%
1.0–1.4%
4%
1.5–1.9%
2%
2.0–2.4%
9%
2.5–2.9%
23%
3.0–3.4%
-
3.5–3.9%
8%
4.0-4.4%
12%
4.5%+
8%
2.5–2.9% 23.4%
4.0-4.4% 12%
2.0–2.4% 8.7%
4.5%+ 8%
$52,629 Vol.
$52,629 Vol.
Jan 20, 2027
<1.0%
$876 Vol.
<1%
1.0–1.4%
$1,193 Vol.
4%
1.5–1.9%
$554 Vol.
2%
2.0–2.4%
$4,051 Vol.
9%
2.5–2.9%
$13,417 Vol.
23%
3.0–3.4%
$0 Vol.
-
3.5–3.9%
$21,242 Vol.
8%
4.0-4.4%
$3,426 Vol.
12%
4.5%+
$7,869 Vol.
8%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendarRecent energy price volatility stemming from Middle East developments has lifted Bank of England projections for UK CPI inflation to a 3.2% peak in 2026 Q4, up from earlier expectations near the 2% target, pushing trader consensus toward the 2.5–2.9% annual average range. June 2026 CPI eased to 2.6%, with core measures stable, yet indirect effects from higher import costs and food prices are projected to dominate the second half. The MPC’s 3.75% Bank Rate stance, alongside loosening labor market conditions, aims to limit second-round wage and price pressures, though upside risks remain if energy shocks persist. Market-implied odds across buckets underscore uncertainty over the scale of pass-through versus disinflationary forces from prior monetary tightening. Key catalysts include the September 2026 FOMC-aligned policy decision and upcoming energy market data releases.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
ভলিউম
$52,629শেষ তারিখ
Jan 20, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendarRecent energy price volatility stemming from Middle East developments has lifted Bank of England projections for UK CPI inflation to a 3.2% peak in 2026 Q4, up from earlier expectations near the 2% target, pushing trader consensus toward the 2.5–2.9% annual average range. June 2026 CPI eased to 2.6%, with core measures stable, yet indirect effects from higher import costs and food prices are projected to dominate the second half. The MPC’s 3.75% Bank Rate stance, alongside loosening labor market conditions, aims to limit second-round wage and price pressures, though upside risks remain if energy shocks persist. Market-implied odds across buckets underscore uncertainty over the scale of pass-through versus disinflationary forces from prior monetary tightening. Key catalysts include the September 2026 FOMC-aligned policy decision and upcoming energy market data releases.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
ভলিউম
$52,629শেষ তারিখ
Jan 20, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent energy price volatility stemming from Middle East developments has lifted Bank of England projections for UK CPI inflation to a 3.2% peak in 2026 Q4, up from earlier expectations near the 2% target, pushing trader consensus toward the 2.5–2.9% annual average range. June 2026 CPI eased to 2.6%, with core measures stable, yet indirect effects from higher import costs and food prices are projected to dominate the second half. The MPC’s 3.75% Bank Rate stance, alongside loosening labor market conditions, aims to limit second-round wage and price pressures, though upside risks remain if energy shocks persist. Market-implied odds across buckets underscore uncertainty over the scale of pass-through versus disinflationary forces from prior monetary tightening. Key catalysts include the September 2026 FOMC-aligned policy decision and upcoming energy market data releases.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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