Recent acceleration in South Africa's headline CPI to 5.0% year-over-year in June 2026, driven by a 12.7% surge in transportation costs tied to fuel prices amid global energy pressures, has kept the 2026 annual average forecast contested. The South African Reserve Bank's May projection of 4.4% average inflation for the year anchors the market-implied odds, with the 4.1-4.4% and 4.4-4.7% brackets capturing over half of trader consensus backed by real capital. Core inflation at 4.1% signals broader pressures, while expectations of moderation hinge on fuel stabilization and labor market data. The July CPI release and next Monetary Policy Committee meeting represent key near-term catalysts that could shift probabilities within the narrow 4.1-4.7% range.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডSouth Africa Annual Inflation 2026
South Africa Annual Inflation 2026
4.1-4.4% 29.6%
4.4-4.7% 22.1%
3.8-4.1% 13.9%
4.7-5.0% 9.5%
$39,551 Vol.
$39,551 Vol.
Jan 20, 2027
<2.6%
<1%
2.6-2.9%
<1%
2.9-3.2%
3%
3.2-3.5%
3%
3.5-3.8%
4%
3.8-4.1%
14%
4.1-4.4%
30%
4.4-4.7%
22%
4.7-5.0%
10%
>5.0%
9%
4.1-4.4% 29.6%
4.4-4.7% 22.1%
3.8-4.1% 13.9%
4.7-5.0% 9.5%
$39,551 Vol.
$39,551 Vol.
Jan 20, 2027
<2.6%
$1,219 Vol.
<1%
2.6-2.9%
$1,854 Vol.
<1%
2.9-3.2%
$1,564 Vol.
3%
3.2-3.5%
$1,245 Vol.
3%
3.5-3.8%
$1,798 Vol.
4%
3.8-4.1%
$2,832 Vol.
14%
4.1-4.4%
$2,590 Vol.
30%
4.4-4.7%
$14,940 Vol.
22%
4.7-5.0%
$3,272 Vol.
10%
>5.0%
$8,236 Vol.
9%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874Recent acceleration in South Africa's headline CPI to 5.0% year-over-year in June 2026, driven by a 12.7% surge in transportation costs tied to fuel prices amid global energy pressures, has kept the 2026 annual average forecast contested. The South African Reserve Bank's May projection of 4.4% average inflation for the year anchors the market-implied odds, with the 4.1-4.4% and 4.4-4.7% brackets capturing over half of trader consensus backed by real capital. Core inflation at 4.1% signals broader pressures, while expectations of moderation hinge on fuel stabilization and labor market data. The July CPI release and next Monetary Policy Committee meeting represent key near-term catalysts that could shift probabilities within the narrow 4.1-4.7% range.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
ভলিউম
$39,551শেষ তারিখ
Jan 20, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874Recent acceleration in South Africa's headline CPI to 5.0% year-over-year in June 2026, driven by a 12.7% surge in transportation costs tied to fuel prices amid global energy pressures, has kept the 2026 annual average forecast contested. The South African Reserve Bank's May projection of 4.4% average inflation for the year anchors the market-implied odds, with the 4.1-4.4% and 4.4-4.7% brackets capturing over half of trader consensus backed by real capital. Core inflation at 4.1% signals broader pressures, while expectations of moderation hinge on fuel stabilization and labor market data. The July CPI release and next Monetary Policy Committee meeting represent key near-term catalysts that could shift probabilities within the narrow 4.1-4.7% range.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
ভলিউম
$39,551শেষ তারিখ
Jan 20, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent acceleration in South Africa's headline CPI to 5.0% year-over-year in June 2026, driven by a 12.7% surge in transportation costs tied to fuel prices amid global energy pressures, has kept the 2026 annual average forecast contested. The South African Reserve Bank's May projection of 4.4% average inflation for the year anchors the market-implied odds, with the 4.1-4.4% and 4.4-4.7% brackets capturing over half of trader consensus backed by real capital. Core inflation at 4.1% signals broader pressures, while expectations of moderation hinge on fuel stabilization and labor market data. The July CPI release and next Monetary Policy Committee meeting represent key near-term catalysts that could shift probabilities within the narrow 4.1-4.7% range.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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