South African Reserve Bank forecasts anchor trader sentiment for 2026 average annual inflation around 4.4%, revised higher in May amid persistent food and energy price pressures, with recent prints showing 5.0% in June before easing to 4.3% in July. Market-implied odds cluster tightly between 4.1-4.7%, reflecting uncertainty over whether fuel-driven volatility and services inflation will sustain above the 3% target or allow faster convergence as global commodity effects fade. Key swing factors include upcoming CPI releases, rand stability, and SARB communications on the policy path, with the closely matched probabilities underscoring balanced views on near-term upside risks versus the medium-term disinflation trajectory.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডSouth Africa Annual Inflation 2026
South Africa Annual Inflation 2026
4.1-4.4% 28.0%
4.4-4.7% 21.5%
3.8-4.1% 13.4%
4.7-5.0% 9.2%
$40,000 Vol.
$40,000 Vol.
Jan 19, 2027
<2.6%
<1%
2.6-2.9%
<1%
2.9-3.2%
3%
3.2-3.5%
3%
3.5-3.8%
5%
3.8-4.1%
13%
4.1-4.4%
28%
4.4-4.7%
22%
4.7-5.0%
9%
>5.0%
9%
4.1-4.4% 28.0%
4.4-4.7% 21.5%
3.8-4.1% 13.4%
4.7-5.0% 9.2%
$40,000 Vol.
$40,000 Vol.
Jan 19, 2027
<2.6%
$1,219 Vol.
<1%
2.6-2.9%
$1,854 Vol.
<1%
2.9-3.2%
$1,564 Vol.
3%
3.2-3.5%
$1,245 Vol.
3%
3.5-3.8%
$1,798 Vol.
5%
3.8-4.1%
$3,106 Vol.
13%
4.1-4.4%
$2,590 Vol.
28%
4.4-4.7%
$14,995 Vol.
22%
4.7-5.0%
$3,392 Vol.
9%
>5.0%
$8,236 Vol.
9%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874South African Reserve Bank forecasts anchor trader sentiment for 2026 average annual inflation around 4.4%, revised higher in May amid persistent food and energy price pressures, with recent prints showing 5.0% in June before easing to 4.3% in July. Market-implied odds cluster tightly between 4.1-4.7%, reflecting uncertainty over whether fuel-driven volatility and services inflation will sustain above the 3% target or allow faster convergence as global commodity effects fade. Key swing factors include upcoming CPI releases, rand stability, and SARB communications on the policy path, with the closely matched probabilities underscoring balanced views on near-term upside risks versus the medium-term disinflation trajectory.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
ভলিউম
$40,000শেষ তারিখ
Jan 20, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874South African Reserve Bank forecasts anchor trader sentiment for 2026 average annual inflation around 4.4%, revised higher in May amid persistent food and energy price pressures, with recent prints showing 5.0% in June before easing to 4.3% in July. Market-implied odds cluster tightly between 4.1-4.7%, reflecting uncertainty over whether fuel-driven volatility and services inflation will sustain above the 3% target or allow faster convergence as global commodity effects fade. Key swing factors include upcoming CPI releases, rand stability, and SARB communications on the policy path, with the closely matched probabilities underscoring balanced views on near-term upside risks versus the medium-term disinflation trajectory.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
ভলিউম
$40,000শেষ তারিখ
Jan 20, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South African Reserve Bank forecasts anchor trader sentiment for 2026 average annual inflation around 4.4%, revised higher in May amid persistent food and energy price pressures, with recent prints showing 5.0% in June before easing to 4.3% in July. Market-implied odds cluster tightly between 4.1-4.7%, reflecting uncertainty over whether fuel-driven volatility and services inflation will sustain above the 3% target or allow faster convergence as global commodity effects fade. Key swing factors include upcoming CPI releases, rand stability, and SARB communications on the policy path, with the closely matched probabilities underscoring balanced views on near-term upside risks versus the medium-term disinflation trajectory.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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