Japan's core CPI YoY for 2026 trades in a tight contest between the ≤1.9% (49.7%) and 2.0-2.4% (46.5%) buckets, reflecting uncertainty over whether moderating price pressures will keep the annual average below the Bank of Japan's 2% target. Recent monthly readings have eased to 1.6% in June 2026 from higher levels earlier in the year, supported by fading energy subsidies, lower oil prices, and softer food contributions, even as a weak yen sustains imported cost pressures. The BOJ's July 2026 outlook projects fiscal 2026 core inflation near 2.5% alongside a 1.0% policy rate, but actual outcomes hinge on wage pass-through, yen stability, and upcoming data releases through year-end. This narrow pricing captures the balance between sticky core-core measures above 2% and broader cooling trends.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডJapan Core CPI YoY in 2026
≤1.9% 49.7%
2.0-2.4% 47%
2.5-2.9% 1.3%
3.0-3.4% <1%
$37,230 Vol.
$37,230 Vol.
≤1.9%
50%
2.0-2.4%
47%
2.5-2.9%
1%
3.0-3.4%
1%
3.5-3.9%
<1%
4.0%+
<1%
≤1.9% 49.7%
2.0-2.4% 47%
2.5-2.9% 1.3%
3.0-3.4% <1%
$37,230 Vol.
$37,230 Vol.
≤1.9%
50%
2.0-2.4%
47%
2.5-2.9%
1%
3.0-3.4%
1%
3.5-3.9%
<1%
4.0%+
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jun 17, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Japan's core CPI YoY for 2026 trades in a tight contest between the ≤1.9% (49.7%) and 2.0-2.4% (46.5%) buckets, reflecting uncertainty over whether moderating price pressures will keep the annual average below the Bank of Japan's 2% target. Recent monthly readings have eased to 1.6% in June 2026 from higher levels earlier in the year, supported by fading energy subsidies, lower oil prices, and softer food contributions, even as a weak yen sustains imported cost pressures. The BOJ's July 2026 outlook projects fiscal 2026 core inflation near 2.5% alongside a 1.0% policy rate, but actual outcomes hinge on wage pass-through, yen stability, and upcoming data releases through year-end. This narrow pricing captures the balance between sticky core-core measures above 2% and broader cooling trends.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড


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বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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