Traders view the 2026 Japan core CPI YoY outcome as closely contested, with market-implied odds split nearly evenly between ≤1.9% and 2.0-2.4%. Recent monthly prints have hovered around 1.4-1.9%, pressured lower by government energy subsidies and favorable base effects even as Middle East-related oil shocks lift import costs. The Bank of Japan’s latest forecasts anticipate core inflation in the 2.0-2.5% range for fiscal 2026, supported by persistent wage gains and services-price momentum, while core-core measures excluding energy remain near 2.5%. Key swing factors include the pace of subsidy roll-offs, crude-oil trajectory, and the extent of cost pass-through ahead of the next BoJ policy and data releases.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডJapan Core CPI YoY in 2026
Japan Core CPI YoY in 2026
≤1.9% 49.0%
2.0-2.4% 47%
2.5-2.9% 1.4%
3.0-3.4% <1%
$37,290 Vol.
$37,290 Vol.
Jan 22, 2027
≤1.9%
49%
2.0-2.4%
47%
2.5-2.9%
1%
3.0-3.4%
1%
3.5-3.9%
<1%
4.0%+
<1%
≤1.9% 49.0%
2.0-2.4% 47%
2.5-2.9% 1.4%
3.0-3.4% <1%
$37,290 Vol.
$37,290 Vol.
Jan 22, 2027
≤1.9%
$18,007 Vol.
49%
2.0-2.4%
$10,631 Vol.
47%
2.5-2.9%
$5,149 Vol.
1%
3.0-3.4%
$1,322 Vol.
1%
3.5-3.9%
$840 Vol.
<1%
4.0%+
$1,339 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Traders view the 2026 Japan core CPI YoY outcome as closely contested, with market-implied odds split nearly evenly between ≤1.9% and 2.0-2.4%. Recent monthly prints have hovered around 1.4-1.9%, pressured lower by government energy subsidies and favorable base effects even as Middle East-related oil shocks lift import costs. The Bank of Japan’s latest forecasts anticipate core inflation in the 2.0-2.5% range for fiscal 2026, supported by persistent wage gains and services-price momentum, while core-core measures excluding energy remain near 2.5%. Key swing factors include the pace of subsidy roll-offs, crude-oil trajectory, and the extent of cost pass-through ahead of the next BoJ policy and data releases.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jun 17, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
ভলিউম
$37,290শেষ তারিখ
Jan 22, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jun 17, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Traders view the 2026 Japan core CPI YoY outcome as closely contested, with market-implied odds split nearly evenly between ≤1.9% and 2.0-2.4%. Recent monthly prints have hovered around 1.4-1.9%, pressured lower by government energy subsidies and favorable base effects even as Middle East-related oil shocks lift import costs. The Bank of Japan’s latest forecasts anticipate core inflation in the 2.0-2.5% range for fiscal 2026, supported by persistent wage gains and services-price momentum, while core-core measures excluding energy remain near 2.5%. Key swing factors include the pace of subsidy roll-offs, crude-oil trajectory, and the extent of cost pass-through ahead of the next BoJ policy and data releases.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
ভলিউম
$37,290শেষ তারিখ
Jan 22, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jun 17, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders view the 2026 Japan core CPI YoY outcome as closely contested, with market-implied odds split nearly evenly between ≤1.9% and 2.0-2.4%. Recent monthly prints have hovered around 1.4-1.9%, pressured lower by government energy subsidies and favorable base effects even as Middle East-related oil shocks lift import costs. The Bank of Japan’s latest forecasts anticipate core inflation in the 2.0-2.5% range for fiscal 2026, supported by persistent wage gains and services-price momentum, while core-core measures excluding energy remain near 2.5%. Key swing factors include the pace of subsidy roll-offs, crude-oil trajectory, and the extent of cost pass-through ahead of the next BoJ policy and data releases.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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