Recent core-core CPI readings, which exclude fresh food and energy, have hovered between 1.7% and 1.9% year-over-year through July 2026, with Tokyo data showing a modest uptick to 2.0% in August. This trajectory reflects fading base effects from prior energy subsidies alongside persistent but contained pressures from yen weakness, rising import costs, and AI-driven semiconductor demand. The Bank of Japan’s July outlook projects underlying inflation gradually aligning with its 2% target through fiscal 2026-2027, supporting the market’s heaviest weighting on the 2.0-2.4% band. Trader positioning incorporates upcoming monthly releases and the September 17-18 FOMC-equivalent policy meeting, where further rate normalization could influence wage-price dynamics.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড2.0-2.4% 57%
≤1.9% 33%
2.5-2.9% 9.2%
3.0-3.4% 2.4%
$54,440 Vol.
$54,440 Vol.
≤1.9%
33%
2.0-2.4%
57%
2.5-2.9%
9%
3.0-3.4%
2%
3.5-3.9%
<1%
4.0%+
1%
2.0-2.4% 57%
≤1.9% 33%
2.5-2.9% 9.2%
3.0-3.4% 2.4%
$54,440 Vol.
$54,440 Vol.
≤1.9%
33%
2.0-2.4%
57%
2.5-2.9%
9%
3.0-3.4%
2%
3.5-3.9%
<1%
4.0%+
1%
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jun 17, 2026, 7:26 PM ET
রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Recent core-core CPI readings, which exclude fresh food and energy, have hovered between 1.7% and 1.9% year-over-year through July 2026, with Tokyo data showing a modest uptick to 2.0% in August. This trajectory reflects fading base effects from prior energy subsidies alongside persistent but contained pressures from yen weakness, rising import costs, and AI-driven semiconductor demand. The Bank of Japan’s July outlook projects underlying inflation gradually aligning with its 2% target through fiscal 2026-2027, supporting the market’s heaviest weighting on the 2.0-2.4% band. Trader positioning incorporates upcoming monthly releases and the September 17-18 FOMC-equivalent policy meeting, where further rate normalization could influence wage-price dynamics.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড


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