Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the highest implied probability at 51.8% for Canada annual CPI inflation in the 2.5–2.9% range for 2026, closely tracking the Bank of Canada's revised April forecast of a 2.3% average amid elevated gasoline prices from Middle East tensions, including the Iran conflict. March 2026 CPI accelerated to 2.4% year-over-year from 1.8% in February—its fastest monthly gain in 14 months—driven by a 0.9% price jump led by energy costs, bolstering the moderate upside scenario while capping extreme outcomes. Strong weighting on 1.5–1.9% (40.3%) reflects potential oil price relief, with 4.0%+ (36.3%) pricing geopolitical escalation risks; the April CPI release on May 19 could shift sentiment further as 2026 data accumulates toward year-end resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডCanada Annual Inflation 2026
Canada Annual Inflation 2026
2.5–2.9% 48.7%
2.0–2.4% 20.0%
3.5-3.9% 19.7%
1.0–1.4% 4.9%
$16,408 Vol.
$16,408 Vol.
<1.0%
1%
1.0–1.4%
5%
1.5–1.9%
40%
2.0–2.4%
20%
2.5–2.9%
49%
3.0-3.4%
30%
3.5-3.9%
20%
4.0%+
36%
2.5–2.9% 48.7%
2.0–2.4% 20.0%
3.5-3.9% 19.7%
1.0–1.4% 4.9%
$16,408 Vol.
$16,408 Vol.
<1.0%
1%
1.0–1.4%
5%
1.5–1.9%
40%
2.0–2.4%
20%
2.5–2.9%
49%
3.0-3.4%
30%
3.5-3.9%
20%
4.0%+
36%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the highest implied probability at 51.8% for Canada annual CPI inflation in the 2.5–2.9% range for 2026, closely tracking the Bank of Canada's revised April forecast of a 2.3% average amid elevated gasoline prices from Middle East tensions, including the Iran conflict. March 2026 CPI accelerated to 2.4% year-over-year from 1.8% in February—its fastest monthly gain in 14 months—driven by a 0.9% price jump led by energy costs, bolstering the moderate upside scenario while capping extreme outcomes. Strong weighting on 1.5–1.9% (40.3%) reflects potential oil price relief, with 4.0%+ (36.3%) pricing geopolitical escalation risks; the April CPI release on May 19 could shift sentiment further as 2026 data accumulates toward year-end resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা