Recent strength in U.S. manufacturing, highlighted by the July ISM PMI surging to 55.6—the highest since May 2022—underpins tight market-implied odds clustered around 54.0–55.9 for the August reading. Broad-based gains in new orders (56.7), production (58.5), and employment (52.8, first expansion in 33 months) reflect sustained AI-related investment and front-loading ahead of tariffs, offsetting geopolitical supply strains and elevated input costs (prices index at 71.1). Thin customer inventories and rebuilding backlogs support further momentum, though persistent cost pressures and potential moderation in demand could cap upside. Traders price in continuity from these dynamics ahead of the September 1 release, with closely matched probabilities underscoring uncertainty around any sequential softening.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড54.0–54.9 48%
55.0–55.9 47%
<51.0 43%
52.0–52.9 41%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 1, 2026
<51.0
43%
51.0–51.9
40%
52.0–52.9
41%
53.0–53.9
41%
54.0–54.9
48%
55.0–55.9
47%
56.0–56.9
41%
57.0–57.9
39%
58.0–58.9
40%
59.0+
38%
54.0–54.9 48%
55.0–55.9 47%
<51.0 43%
52.0–52.9 41%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 1, 2026
<51.0
$0 Vol.
43%
51.0–51.9
$0 Vol.
40%
52.0–52.9
$0 Vol.
41%
53.0–53.9
$0 Vol.
41%
54.0–54.9
$0 Vol.
48%
55.0–55.9
$0 Vol.
47%
56.0–56.9
$0 Vol.
41%
57.0–57.9
$0 Vol.
39%
58.0–58.9
$0 Vol.
40%
59.0+
$0 Vol.
38%
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent strength in U.S. manufacturing, highlighted by the July ISM PMI surging to 55.6—the highest since May 2022—underpins tight market-implied odds clustered around 54.0–55.9 for the August reading. Broad-based gains in new orders (56.7), production (58.5), and employment (52.8, first expansion in 33 months) reflect sustained AI-related investment and front-loading ahead of tariffs, offsetting geopolitical supply strains and elevated input costs (prices index at 71.1). Thin customer inventories and rebuilding backlogs support further momentum, though persistent cost pressures and potential moderation in demand could cap upside. Traders price in continuity from these dynamics ahead of the September 1 release, with closely matched probabilities underscoring uncertainty around any sequential softening.
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 4, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
ভলিউম
$0শেষ তারিখ
Sep 1, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 4, 2026, 6:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent strength in U.S. manufacturing, highlighted by the July ISM PMI surging to 55.6—the highest since May 2022—underpins tight market-implied odds clustered around 54.0–55.9 for the August reading. Broad-based gains in new orders (56.7), production (58.5), and employment (52.8, first expansion in 33 months) reflect sustained AI-related investment and front-loading ahead of tariffs, offsetting geopolitical supply strains and elevated input costs (prices index at 71.1). Thin customer inventories and rebuilding backlogs support further momentum, though persistent cost pressures and potential moderation in demand could cap upside. Traders price in continuity from these dynamics ahead of the September 1 release, with closely matched probabilities underscoring uncertainty around any sequential softening.
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
ভলিউম
$0শেষ তারিখ
Sep 1, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 4, 2026, 6:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent strength in U.S. manufacturing, highlighted by the July ISM PMI surging to 55.6—the highest since May 2022—underpins tight market-implied odds clustered around 54.0–55.9 for the August reading. Broad-based gains in new orders (56.7), production (58.5), and employment (52.8, first expansion in 33 months) reflect sustained AI-related investment and front-loading ahead of tariffs, offsetting geopolitical supply strains and elevated input costs (prices index at 71.1). Thin customer inventories and rebuilding backlogs support further momentum, though persistent cost pressures and potential moderation in demand could cap upside. Traders price in continuity from these dynamics ahead of the September 1 release, with closely matched probabilities underscoring uncertainty around any sequential softening.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা