Japan’s 10-year government bond yield, trading near 2.98% as of September 18, 2026, faces sustained upward pressure from the Bank of Japan’s latest 25-basis-point policy rate increase to 1.25%, its highest level since 1995. Persistent core inflation near or above the 2% target, driven by energy costs tied to the Iran conflict and domestic wage growth, supports further monetary tightening expectations. Fiscal expansion risks, including record budget requests and potential consumption tax cuts, have prompted the Ministry of Finance to raise its debt-servicing assumptions, reinforcing trader consensus for yields ending 2026 at or above 3.0%. Recent global yield repricing and the yen’s weakness add to these dynamics ahead of additional economic data releases.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডJapan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026
Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026
3.0%+ 66.3%
2.8-3.0% 16.1%
2.4-2.6% 6.9%
2.6-2.8% 2.7%
$29,743 Vol.
$29,743 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
<2.0%
1%
2.0-2.2%
2%
2.2-2.4%
<1%
2.4-2.6%
7%
2.6-2.8%
3%
2.8-3.0%
16%
3.0%+
66%
3.0%+ 66.3%
2.8-3.0% 16.1%
2.4-2.6% 6.9%
2.6-2.8% 2.7%
$29,743 Vol.
$29,743 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
<2.0%
$1,370 Vol.
1%
2.0-2.2%
$1,701 Vol.
2%
2.2-2.4%
$1,263 Vol.
<1%
2.4-2.6%
$2,562 Vol.
7%
2.6-2.8%
$2,556 Vol.
3%
2.8-3.0%
$8,716 Vol.
16%
3.0%+
$11,574 Vol.
66%
This market will resolve according to the 10-year Japanese government bond (JGB) yield on the last reported day of 2026, as reported by the Japanese Ministry of Finance.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Japanese Ministry of Finance’s “Interest Rate” data for Japanese Government Bonds found at (https://www.mof.go.jp/english/policy/jgbs/reference/interest_rate/index.htm). The resolution will be based on the value listed in the column labelled “10Y” in row corresponding to the latest reported date of 2026.
The latest reported date will be confirmed once the Japanese Ministry of Finance publishes its first 10-year government bond yield for a 2027 date. The last 2026 date published before that point will be treated as the final reported date of 2026. If the Ministry of Finance has not published any 2027 yield data for the specified date by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve using the most recent 2026 yield published as of that date.Japan’s 10-year government bond yield, trading near 2.98% as of September 18, 2026, faces sustained upward pressure from the Bank of Japan’s latest 25-basis-point policy rate increase to 1.25%, its highest level since 1995. Persistent core inflation near or above the 2% target, driven by energy costs tied to the Iran conflict and domestic wage growth, supports further monetary tightening expectations. Fiscal expansion risks, including record budget requests and potential consumption tax cuts, have prompted the Ministry of Finance to raise its debt-servicing assumptions, reinforcing trader consensus for yields ending 2026 at or above 3.0%. Recent global yield repricing and the yen’s weakness add to these dynamics ahead of additional economic data releases.
This market will resolve according to the 10-year Japanese government bond (JGB) yield on the last reported day of 2026, as reported by the Japanese Ministry of Finance.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Japanese Ministry of Finance’s “Interest Rate” data for Japanese Government Bonds found at (https://www.mof.go.jp/english/policy/jgbs/reference/interest_rate/index.htm). The resolution will be based on the value listed in the column labelled “10Y” in row corresponding to the latest reported date of 2026.
The latest reported date will be confirmed once the Japanese Ministry of Finance publishes its first 10-year government bond yield for a 2027 date. The last 2026 date published before that point will be treated as the final reported date of 2026. If the Ministry of Finance has not published any 2027 yield data for the specified date by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve using the most recent 2026 yield published as of that date.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Japanese Ministry of Finance’s “Interest Rate” data for Japanese Government Bonds found at (https://www.mof.go.jp/english/policy/jgbs/reference/interest_rate/index.htm). The resolution will be based on the value listed in the column labelled “10Y” in row corresponding to the latest reported date of 2026.
The latest reported date will be confirmed once the Japanese Ministry of Finance publishes its first 10-year government bond yield for a 2027 date. The last 2026 date published before that point will be treated as the final reported date of 2026. If the Ministry of Finance has not published any 2027 yield data for the specified date by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve using the most recent 2026 yield published as of that date.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jun 10, 2026, 4:35 PM ET
ভলিউম
$29,743শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jun 10, 2026, 4:35 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the 10-year Japanese government bond (JGB) yield on the last reported day of 2026, as reported by the Japanese Ministry of Finance.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Japanese Ministry of Finance’s “Interest Rate” data for Japanese Government Bonds found at (https://www.mof.go.jp/english/policy/jgbs/reference/interest_rate/index.htm). The resolution will be based on the value listed in the column labelled “10Y” in row corresponding to the latest reported date of 2026.
The latest reported date will be confirmed once the Japanese Ministry of Finance publishes its first 10-year government bond yield for a 2027 date. The last 2026 date published before that point will be treated as the final reported date of 2026. If the Ministry of Finance has not published any 2027 yield data for the specified date by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve using the most recent 2026 yield published as of that date.Japan’s 10-year government bond yield, trading near 2.98% as of September 18, 2026, faces sustained upward pressure from the Bank of Japan’s latest 25-basis-point policy rate increase to 1.25%, its highest level since 1995. Persistent core inflation near or above the 2% target, driven by energy costs tied to the Iran conflict and domestic wage growth, supports further monetary tightening expectations. Fiscal expansion risks, including record budget requests and potential consumption tax cuts, have prompted the Ministry of Finance to raise its debt-servicing assumptions, reinforcing trader consensus for yields ending 2026 at or above 3.0%. Recent global yield repricing and the yen’s weakness add to these dynamics ahead of additional economic data releases.
This market will resolve according to the 10-year Japanese government bond (JGB) yield on the last reported day of 2026, as reported by the Japanese Ministry of Finance.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Japanese Ministry of Finance’s “Interest Rate” data for Japanese Government Bonds found at (https://www.mof.go.jp/english/policy/jgbs/reference/interest_rate/index.htm). The resolution will be based on the value listed in the column labelled “10Y” in row corresponding to the latest reported date of 2026.
The latest reported date will be confirmed once the Japanese Ministry of Finance publishes its first 10-year government bond yield for a 2027 date. The last 2026 date published before that point will be treated as the final reported date of 2026. If the Ministry of Finance has not published any 2027 yield data for the specified date by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve using the most recent 2026 yield published as of that date.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Japanese Ministry of Finance’s “Interest Rate” data for Japanese Government Bonds found at (https://www.mof.go.jp/english/policy/jgbs/reference/interest_rate/index.htm). The resolution will be based on the value listed in the column labelled “10Y” in row corresponding to the latest reported date of 2026.
The latest reported date will be confirmed once the Japanese Ministry of Finance publishes its first 10-year government bond yield for a 2027 date. The last 2026 date published before that point will be treated as the final reported date of 2026. If the Ministry of Finance has not published any 2027 yield data for the specified date by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve using the most recent 2026 yield published as of that date.
ভলিউম
$29,743শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jun 10, 2026, 4:35 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Japan’s 10-year government bond yield, trading near 2.98% as of September 18, 2026, faces sustained upward pressure from the Bank of Japan’s latest 25-basis-point policy rate increase to 1.25%, its highest level since 1995. Persistent core inflation near or above the 2% target, driven by energy costs tied to the Iran conflict and domestic wage growth, supports further monetary tightening expectations. Fiscal expansion risks, including record budget requests and potential consumption tax cuts, have prompted the Ministry of Finance to raise its debt-servicing assumptions, reinforcing trader consensus for yields ending 2026 at or above 3.0%. Recent global yield repricing and the yen’s weakness add to these dynamics ahead of additional economic data releases.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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