China's annual CPI inflation for 2026 has trended lower amid persistent weak domestic demand, declining food prices (particularly pork amid ample supply), and softening non-food components. Recent July data showed the headline rate easing to a six-month low of 0.5% year-on-year from 1.0% in June, below expectations, with core inflation also moderating to 0.9%. Earlier 2026 readings hovered near 1.0-1.2% before an initial energy-price lift from Middle East supply disruptions faded after government fuel adjustments and global easing. Institutional forecasts cluster around 0.8-1.2% for the full year, reflecting subdued consumption, limited pass-through from producer prices, and policy measures that have yet to generate sustained reflation. These conditions align with trader emphasis on the 0.6-1.0% band as the most probable outcome, while higher ranges face headwinds from ongoing demand slack.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডChina Annual Inflation 2026
0.6 – 1.0% 44%
0.1 – 0.5% 17.5%
1.1 – 1.5% 17%
1.6 – 2.0% 5.5%
$72,262 Vol.
$72,262 Vol.
<-1.0%
3%
-0.9 – -0.5%
1%
-0.4 – 0.0%
3%
0.1 – 0.5%
18%
0.6 – 1.0%
44%
1.1 – 1.5%
17%
1.6 – 2.0%
6%
2.0-2.4%
6%
2.5%+
<1%
0.6 – 1.0% 44%
0.1 – 0.5% 17.5%
1.1 – 1.5% 17%
1.6 – 2.0% 5.5%
$72,262 Vol.
$72,262 Vol.
<-1.0%
3%
-0.9 – -0.5%
1%
-0.4 – 0.0%
3%
0.1 – 0.5%
18%
0.6 – 1.0%
44%
1.1 – 1.5%
17%
1.6 – 2.0%
6%
2.0-2.4%
6%
2.5%+
<1%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...China's annual CPI inflation for 2026 has trended lower amid persistent weak domestic demand, declining food prices (particularly pork amid ample supply), and softening non-food components. Recent July data showed the headline rate easing to a six-month low of 0.5% year-on-year from 1.0% in June, below expectations, with core inflation also moderating to 0.9%. Earlier 2026 readings hovered near 1.0-1.2% before an initial energy-price lift from Middle East supply disruptions faded after government fuel adjustments and global easing. Institutional forecasts cluster around 0.8-1.2% for the full year, reflecting subdued consumption, limited pass-through from producer prices, and policy measures that have yet to generate sustained reflation. These conditions align with trader emphasis on the 0.6-1.0% band as the most probable outcome, while higher ranges face headwinds from ongoing demand slack.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড


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