Analyst forecasts from the Banco Central de la República Argentina’s May Relevamiento de Expectativas de Mercado survey place 2026 annual inflation at a 30.5% median, up 1.4 percentage points from the prior poll amid persistent oil-price pressures and scheduled utility adjustments. Current year-over-year readings near 32.4% in April reflect ongoing disinflation under President Milei’s fiscal surplus and monetary tightening, yet month-on-month prints continue to exceed some consensus estimates. Market-implied odds cluster tightly between the 30–34.9% and 35–39.9% brackets, underscoring uncertainty over whether core inflation will stabilize near 2.5% monthly or face renewed upside from energy costs and peso volatility. Key near-term catalysts include INDEC’s May and June releases, which could shift trader positioning if prints diverge from the 2.6% central-bank survey expectation.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডArgentina Annual Inflation 2026
Argentina Annual Inflation 2026
35–39.9% 29.7%
30.0-34.9% 23.5%
40-44.9% 20.5%
25-29.9% 20%
<20%
7%
20-24.9%
17%
25-29.9%
25%
30.0-34.9%
34%
35–39.9%
30%
40-44.9%
21%
45%+
9%
35–39.9% 29.7%
30.0-34.9% 23.5%
40-44.9% 20.5%
25-29.9% 20%
<20%
7%
20-24.9%
17%
25-29.9%
25%
30.0-34.9%
34%
35–39.9%
30%
40-44.9%
21%
45%+
9%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Analyst forecasts from the Banco Central de la República Argentina’s May Relevamiento de Expectativas de Mercado survey place 2026 annual inflation at a 30.5% median, up 1.4 percentage points from the prior poll amid persistent oil-price pressures and scheduled utility adjustments. Current year-over-year readings near 32.4% in April reflect ongoing disinflation under President Milei’s fiscal surplus and monetary tightening, yet month-on-month prints continue to exceed some consensus estimates. Market-implied odds cluster tightly between the 30–34.9% and 35–39.9% brackets, underscoring uncertainty over whether core inflation will stabilize near 2.5% monthly or face renewed upside from energy costs and peso volatility. Key near-term catalysts include INDEC’s May and June releases, which could shift trader positioning if prints diverge from the 2.6% central-bank survey expectation.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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