Historic U.S. cattle supply constraints, with inventories at 86.2 million head on January 1, 2026—the lowest in decades per USDA NASS—have propelled BLS average ground beef prices to $6.899 per pound in April, up 3% from March's $6.701 and nearing the $7 threshold. Tight herd sizes from prolonged herd liquidation, high feed costs, and reduced beef production amid robust domestic and export demand underpin USDA's outlook for over 10% retail beef price inflation in 2026. Polymarket reflects trader consensus on these fundamentals via real-money wagers. Traders monitor monthly BLS CPI retail data releases—next on June 12 for May figures—and USDA Cattle on Feed reports for signals on slaughter rates and year-end price peaks.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডWill ground beef hit __ in 2026?
Will ground beef hit __ in 2026?
$18,653 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$7.000+
76%
$8.000+
48%
$9.000+
37%
$10.000+
16%
$18,653 Vol.
$7.000+
$50 Vol.
76%
$8.000+
$1,474 Vol.
48%
$9.000+
$22 Vol.
37%
$10.000+
$17,107 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Historic U.S. cattle supply constraints, with inventories at 86.2 million head on January 1, 2026—the lowest in decades per USDA NASS—have propelled BLS average ground beef prices to $6.899 per pound in April, up 3% from March's $6.701 and nearing the $7 threshold. Tight herd sizes from prolonged herd liquidation, high feed costs, and reduced beef production amid robust domestic and export demand underpin USDA's outlook for over 10% retail beef price inflation in 2026. Polymarket reflects trader consensus on these fundamentals via real-money wagers. Traders monitor monthly BLS CPI retail data releases—next on June 12 for May figures—and USDA Cattle on Feed reports for signals on slaughter rates and year-end price peaks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
ভলিউম
$18,653শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Historic U.S. cattle supply constraints, with inventories at 86.2 million head on January 1, 2026—the lowest in decades per USDA NASS—have propelled BLS average ground beef prices to $6.899 per pound in April, up 3% from March's $6.701 and nearing the $7 threshold. Tight herd sizes from prolonged herd liquidation, high feed costs, and reduced beef production amid robust domestic and export demand underpin USDA's outlook for over 10% retail beef price inflation in 2026. Polymarket reflects trader consensus on these fundamentals via real-money wagers. Traders monitor monthly BLS CPI retail data releases—next on June 12 for May figures—and USDA Cattle on Feed reports for signals on slaughter rates and year-end price peaks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
ভলিউম
$18,653শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Historic U.S. cattle supply constraints, with inventories at 86.2 million head on January 1, 2026—the lowest in decades per USDA NASS—have propelled BLS average ground beef prices to $6.899 per pound in April, up 3% from March's $6.701 and nearing the $7 threshold. Tight herd sizes from prolonged herd liquidation, high feed costs, and reduced beef production amid robust domestic and export demand underpin USDA's outlook for over 10% retail beef price inflation in 2026. Polymarket reflects trader consensus on these fundamentals via real-money wagers. Traders monitor monthly BLS CPI retail data releases—next on June 12 for May figures—and USDA Cattle on Feed reports for signals on slaughter rates and year-end price peaks.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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